TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,761,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,792,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,761,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Yes16c465,103$75,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,569.0574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes19c148,129$27,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,500.742,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Yes9c105,000$9,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0553951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c86,488$12,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,714.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes17c74,338$12,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,637.4733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes16c67,645$10,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,823.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Yes19c61,965$11,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,524.5716033.1%53 W · 107 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa078…419abacked Yes16c50,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0002055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes16c49,946$7,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,991.362,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes20c48,922$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Yes18c44,444$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0009446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes16c33,903$5,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,431.352,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes17c33,242$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,783.9979231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Yes10c28,378$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No78c25,035$19,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,507.78450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes15c13,072$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.2865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Yes17c11,800$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0066833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes7c11,610$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.0125821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…97bcbacked Yes2c11,111$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-79.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes22c10,455$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30026320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…513abacked Yes9c10,375$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9212114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed No80c10,371$8,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.253467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2007729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2005518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No79c9,065$7,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.687259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes5c8,486$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.973,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes17c8,411$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.3141331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes2c7,771$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes17c7,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27543835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55fd…b51abacked Yes21c7,143$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2468…cad2backed Yes19c6,962$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34515735%55 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes19c6,579$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2504032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4607…d542backed Yes23c6,522$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007958.2%46 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2248…cad0backed Yes18c6,111$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes20c6,042$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.364926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed Yes19c5,828$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.347538.7%29 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34af…3bbfbacked Yes16c5,625$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004918.4%9 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes18c5,416$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.81,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes18c5,176$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.2915844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes19c5,163$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.0313237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9838817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7264…8121backed Yes17c4,675$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007528%21 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes20c4,139$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.4636939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes17c4,118$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes5c4,089$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.134122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes7c4,010$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3145528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2463…e21bbacked Yes17c4,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67026836.9%99 W · 169 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd13…e07dbacked Yes19c4,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4eb…1a6ebacked Yes7c4,000$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.564323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes16c3,612$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.925117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd990…4866backed Yes19c3,550$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Yes18c3,444$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9150%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes1c3,331$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2732639%127 W · 199 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes9c3,315$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3635034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No79c3,289$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9611942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes5c3,233$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6765948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…f554backed Yes16c3,219$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5151030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes16c3,150$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50460511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes3c3,100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked Yes13c3,080$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.6114542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e6…18abbacked Yes16c3,055$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.863641.7%15 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c1…a09ebacked Yes18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5407444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3c…d9b0backed Yes15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9811436.8%42 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes8c2,999$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9145421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5184…1363backed Yes17c2,941$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007245.8%33 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5b…7796backed Yes17c2,854$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.114337.2%16 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes1c2,810$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4834438.4%132 W · 212 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Yes18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes6c2,771$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9153920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…26b6backed Yes16c2,732$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.065147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Yes1c2,686$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.836335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7d…8c40backed Yes18c2,653$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+79.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2193…e6cabacked Yes19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009929.3%29 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa451…449ebacked Yes19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dba…dc6dbacked Yes9c2,525$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a62…d225backed Yes16c2,513$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked No80c2,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.218452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…4b15backed Yes20c2,419$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.741010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes17c2,377$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.621,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…cb88backed Yes14c2,356$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.362931%9 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Yes22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked Yes18c2,222$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009630.2%29 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb796…f221backed Yes16c2,199$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8470%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes1c2,177$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6636139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aec…aff7backed Yes16c2,121$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.261118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-50.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yes12c2,091$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9218633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes10c2,082$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Yes16c2,081$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33311436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008561.2%52 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71a6…b4d2backed Yes8c1,950$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea0b…c5f5backed Yes19c1,931$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.846333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc739…b6c3backed Yes17c1,920$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3292927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.