NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eaa73fc87cce1e0217374ab12e5e5d2ac9f21a2f3aaef62cb2a2b4d754ade71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,446,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,724,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,446,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,829 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 24c | 533,413$127,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,734.56 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 77c | 314,121$240,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,580.16 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 24c | 208,333$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 77c | 157,845$120,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,075.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 74c | 156,842$116,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,171.29 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 76c | 120,000$91,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.98 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers | 23c | 108,250$24,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,613.58 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Lakers | 24c | 101,075$23,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,847.3 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Lakers | 17c | 98,573$17,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,203.94 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Lakers | 23c | 89,999$20,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,699.72 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 77c | 75,000$57,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,250 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder | 76c | 75,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.95 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Thunder | 77c | 70,980$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,979.67 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 77c | 69,832$53,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,061.36 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lakers | 7c | 66,514$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.13 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Lakers | 24c | 65,328$15,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,713.55 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…01bcbacked Thunder | 77c | 64,564$49,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,849.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Thunder | 76c | 60,000$45,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.96 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 13c | 55,752$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,309.7 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Thunder | 77c | 51,606$39,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,869.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 13c | 51,477$6,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,774.55 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Lakers | 25c | 50,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Lakers | 23c | 46,000$10,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,579.93 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Lakers | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Lakers | 21c | 36,959$7,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,703.19 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 75c | 30,000$22,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.96 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 80c | 29,598$23,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,034.35 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 76c | 29,344$22,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,095.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Lakers | 24c | 29,167$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…9e49backed Lakers | 7c | 27,915$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Lakers | 28c | 27,600$7,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,865.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 76c | 27,500$20,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.98 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers | 0c | 25,453$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 24c | 24,343$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856.1 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers | 22c | 23,467$5,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,162.78 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Lakers | 23c | 23,361$5,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,328.67 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Thunder | 70c | 21,566$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,565.87 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Thunder | 76c | 21,000$15,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Lakers | 23c | 20,774$4,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.69 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lakers | 1c | 20,612$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…b75ebacked Lakers | 24c | 20,228$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Thunder | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Thunder | 76c | 19,514$14,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.95 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 15c | 18,454$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 77c | 14,830$11,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.02 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 75c | 14,559$10,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.98 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Lakers | 24c | 14,128$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,390.78 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 74c | 13,496$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.61 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…2b41backed Lakers | 1c | 12,643$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.92 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59c…a682backed Lakers | 24c | 12,632$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Lakers | 1c | 11,775$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Lakers | 24c | 11,521$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 76c | 11,398$8,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.38 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…eeb6backed Lakers | 24c | 11,236$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Lakers | 24c | 11,025$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…bef7backed Lakers | 14c | 10,884$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532 | 146 | 26.7%39 W · 107 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…7ea2backed Thunder | 74c | 10,879$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.67 | 345 | 54.8%189 W · 156 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…3476backed Lakers | 0c | 10,818$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.26per pick | 2cpaid | +1,525.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Lakers | 16c | 10,694$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.43 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Lakers | 0c | 10,204$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…9deabacked Lakers | 0c | 10,086$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 76c | 10,055$7,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.28 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…78b8backed Lakers | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 1c | 10,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…7d45backed Thunder | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Thunder | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…bfb8backed Lakers | 23c | 9,999$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Lakers | 13c | 9,700$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.47 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 76c | 9,069$6,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.56 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Lakers | 23c | 9,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Thunder | 78c | 9,000$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.94 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 76c | 8,968$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.24 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…a270backed Lakers | 24c | 8,840$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.64 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked Lakers | 20c | 8,641$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.96 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…46e6backed Lakers | 16c | 8,500$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Lakers | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lakers | 17c | 8,242$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…57e7backed Lakers | 24c | 7,617$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.13 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Lakers | 5c | 7,600$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 0c | 7,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lakers | 2c | 7,013$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Thunder | 76c | 7,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Lakers | 24c | 6,999$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.85 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…2492backed Lakers | 28c | 6,975$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Lakers | 23c | 6,823$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.4 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Thunder | 73c | 6,685$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.76 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Thunder | 71c | 6,500$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…2de3backed Lakers | 19c | 6,466$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 76c | 6,292$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Lakers | 24c | 6,065$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.5 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Lakers | 23c | 6,064$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Thunder | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…3d8bbacked Lakers | 27c | 6,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Lakers | 25c | 5,700$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…661fbacked Lakers | 22c | 5,650$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Lakers | 23c | 5,500$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.96 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Thunder | 74c | 5,443$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.86 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Lakers | 7c | 5,414$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakersthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.