NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42caf529dca7af46d62bc5d89ffb6c3c3379e384a6df01d178b1ea9e005d436c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $354,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $362,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Over | 50c | 80,361$40,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,180.3 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…ec43backed Over | 50c | 80,000$39,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,299.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 60,462$30,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,263.35 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Over | 49c | 32,974$16,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,719.52 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 50c | 20,305$10,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,152.28 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…e361backed Under | 50c | 18,014$9,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,007 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Under | 51c | 17,854$9,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,105.49 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 49c | 17,699$8,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,028.71 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 15,714$7,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,897.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 12,740$6,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,370 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 10,592$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Over | 51c | 9,510$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700.9 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 7,059$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 52c | 6,250$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6426…ff48backed Under | 50c | 6,090$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 51c | 6,066$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.13 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 50c | 5,894$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.97 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 50c | 5,821$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.39 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 50c | 5,400$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Under | 51c | 5,059$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.97 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…077fbacked Under | 49c | 4,169$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…aad2backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 50c | 3,990$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.08 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 48c | 3,932$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.58 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 49c | 3,673$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Over | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked Under | 49c | 3,416$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 50c | 3,057$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.8 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 50c | 2,970$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…7579backed Over | 50c | 2,311$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…00bfbacked Under | 51c | 2,303$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 2,125$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.61 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…1eebbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 45c | 2,040$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 2,009$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.41 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Under | 50c | 1,981$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 1,953$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.19 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…cbe4backed Under | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…248bbacked Under | 50c | 1,424$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 50c | 1,417$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.74 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Over | 51c | 1,363$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.1 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 1,295$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.88 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Over | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 51c | 1,172$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.18 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Over | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea5…9d40backed Over | 51c | 1,089$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Under | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Over | 49c | 1,061$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.22 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 49c | 999.96$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 52c | 949$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.52 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Under | 52c | 944.46$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.12 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…6201backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 51c | 745.1$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.1 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 50c | 688.44$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.54 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 51c | 667.33$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.34 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 647.57$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.23 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 50c | 645.78$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.89 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 49c | 624.01$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.16 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 52c | 621.15$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 50c | 586.17$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.09 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Under | 51c | 560.4$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.8 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Over | 64c | 522$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.72 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over | 50c | 486$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 51c | 478$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 51c | 408.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.14 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 3c | 406$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 49c | 402.94$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 392$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 61c | 326.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.