NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3e195ec7b691d7b25c63ebee4089f190781933eb37539b951904f2251ff0b1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $901,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $939,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $901,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 49c | 261,749$128,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,492.01 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 48c | 119,716$57,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,870.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 51c | 116,489$59,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,394.76 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Lakers | 51c | 98,039$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Thunder | 49c | 59,273$29,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,229.27 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Lakers | 51c | 53,493$27,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,281.53 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 51c | 40,027$20,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,413.8 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Lakers | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Lakers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Lakers | 51c | 22,675$11,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,656.16 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder | 51c | 18,399$9,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,937.22 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 50c | 18,039$9,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,964.54 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3009…19a9backed Lakers | 54c | 16,849$9,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,143.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers | 52c | 16,249$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500.01 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…57e7backed Lakers | 52c | 15,440$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Lakers | 25c | 12,000$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.61 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Lakers | 51c | 11,173$5,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,698.47 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 48c | 10,245$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.93 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 50c | 10,226$5,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,152.16 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 51c | 9,328$4,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,775.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lakers | 50c | 8,513$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.93 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Lakers | 52c | 8,200$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 40c | 7,783$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.68 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lakers | 25c | 5,811$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.08 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Lakers | 64c | 4,794$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.77 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 51c | 4,723$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Thunder | 42c | 4,300$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.99 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Thunder | 49c | 4,066$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.02 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…86c0backed Lakers | 50c | 4,001$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Lakers | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Lakers | 51c | 3,248$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.48 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…8f10backed Lakers | 70c | 3,145$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Thunder | 68c | 2,960$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.76 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lakers | 52c | 2,726$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.18 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 50c | 2,550$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.11 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lakers | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Thunder | 49c | 2,301$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.45 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 42c | 2,253$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.23 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder | 51c | 2,080$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.87 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 50c | 2,006$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.19 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Lakers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Lakers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…3051backed Lakers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lakers | 52c | 1,694$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.93 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Lakers | 51c | 1,671$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.15 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Lakers | 51c | 1,647$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,620$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,585$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.05 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,566$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.78 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Thunder | 53c | 1,343$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.53 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,333$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.74 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Lakers | 51c | 1,156$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.56 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…f0f9backed Lakers | 41c | 1,121$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Lakers | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,036$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.37 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 77c | 1,025$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.75 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e39…77f3backed Thunder | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.8 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…3a96backed Lakers | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Lakers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Thunder | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Lakers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Lakers | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lakers | 31c | 990.5$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.41 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lakers | 49c | 976.64$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.12 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Thunder | 49c | 975.4$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.45 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thunder | 45c | 928.98$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.94 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder | 53c | 891.77$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.13 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…baafbacked Thunder | 79c | 882.23$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lakers | 15c | 864.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Lakers | 50c | 794.57$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.29 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Lakers | 49c | 708.29$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 37c | 699.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 75c | 655.11$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Lakers | 52c | 645$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 57c | 643.77$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.54 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Lakers | 48c | 643.33$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.42 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Lakers | 52c | 634.62$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Lakers | 40c | 632.26$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers | 23c | 615$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.45 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Thunder | 50c | 594$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Thunder | 50c | 592.34$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.17 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 53c | 507.02$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.57 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Thunder | 49c | 506.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Thunder | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Thunder | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Thunder | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Lakers | 33c | 492.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…f694backed Lakers | 26c | 492.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Lakers | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 63c | 479.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.09 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 50c | 473.96$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.73 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Lakers | 21c | 464.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Lakers won
- Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. LakersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 103.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 211.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.