TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x63ed…b0f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,225
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$724.99
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,595.52
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$900
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,500
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$634.5
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,402.5
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$850
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$520
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.99
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$264
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$364
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,500
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$425
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,524.99
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,575
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,825Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$675
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,000
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,830
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Taylor Townsend vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$224.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Blockxbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublikbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.99
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,422Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.7%+$1,577.99
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,071.07
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,948Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$2,051.92
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,526Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+45%+$1,585.32
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,649.45
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.98
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,300
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$440.39
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,559.97
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$344.94
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,339.99
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,663.78
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,935
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,875Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,874.97
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.99
Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$1,263.88
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,840
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,385
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$2,559.97
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,434Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,691.25
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$3,200
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+76.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+52.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$459.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$128
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$770.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,024.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,463Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37.7%+$2,433.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,665Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,916.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.