NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab2b122147a9aef5bb8e04440d2cdaf1ad079e892bb3cff39350599f494a2de9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 53c | 30,000$16,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,949.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 47c | 11,236$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.82 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 47c | 10,412$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 52c | 6,884$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.15 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Over | 46c | 6,663$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…6c83backed Over | 18c | 5,973$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.16 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 5,059$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Under | 59c | 5,000$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 58c | 3,701$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…5521backed Over | 57c | 3,472$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 42c | 3,308$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.11 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 46c | 2,947$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 43c | 2,210$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.44 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 47c | 2,200$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 1,998$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.07 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Under | 54c | 1,181$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 16c | 1,155$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…dcbebacked Under | 34c | 873.88$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 31c | 833$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Under | 44c | 709$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 40c | 573.5$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 39c | 550.33$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.63 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 48c | 549.55$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 431.91$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.34 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…03bdbacked Over | 48c | 416.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Under | 47c | 380.18$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.88 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…a3c7backed Under | 54c | 380$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 55c | 365.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 74c | 342$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 58c | 341.87$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 45c | 301$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under | 37c | 270.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.47 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 55c | 257.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 25c | 237$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 48c | 217.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 57c | 211.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd54c…9979backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 53c | 194.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 183.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 41c | 156$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 56c | 142.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6d…db4fbacked Under | 53c | 130.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Over | 16c | 123.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 117.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 43c | 89.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Under | 50c | 69.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 38c | 55.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 21c | 51.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Under | 58c | 51.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…065abacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 57c | 40.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 56c | 37.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Over | 44c | 37.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Under | 55c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3067…a44cbacked Under | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 53c | 32.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Over | 56c | 30.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 36c | 29.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Under | 78c | 28.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…efb9backed Over | 48c | 27.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5efd…a583backed Under | 51c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Over | 43c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 43c | 23.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.