NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59ba37df505fb4bac3cef9efc9f88aa8a949fa4954919ed9db8faef4a1d56e3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Golden Knights, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes | 72c | 9,301$6,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.3 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Golden Knights | 28c | 5,235$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.8 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Golden Knights | 28c | 4,482$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.92 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden Knights | 47c | 3,842$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.62 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Golden Knights | 28c | 3,228$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.79 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hurricanes | 72c | 2,698$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.54 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes | 71c | 1,808$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.31 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Hurricanes | 53c | 1,505$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.35 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Hurricanes | 53c | 1,504$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.94 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Golden Knights | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hurricanes | 71c | 934.89$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.12 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Hurricanes | 53c | 685.37$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.12 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 679.31$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Hurricanes | 71c | 672.64$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Hurricanes | 72c | 574.78$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden Knights | 29c | 472.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.34 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Golden Knights | 29c | 360$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 12c | 305.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Golden Knights | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…e920backed Golden Knights | 22c | 232.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Hurricanes | 71c | 227.43$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Hurricanes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 14c | 207$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 28c | 200.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights | 24c | 189.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Golden Knights | 14c | 168.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Golden Knights | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Golden Knights | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…105abacked Hurricanes | 73c | 137.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Golden Knights | 12c | 130.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden Knights | 16c | 106.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Hurricanes | 53c | 103.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Golden Knights | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Golden Knights | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Golden Knights | 29c | 99.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Golden Knights | 28c | 80.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Hurricanes | 72c | 79.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Golden Knights | 28c | 69.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes | 71c | 66.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Golden Knights | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Golden Knights | 29c | 55.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Hurricanes | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Hurricanes | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e3…4876backed Hurricanes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…686cbacked Hurricanes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…2dc7backed Hurricanes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea2…03c8backed Hurricanes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. Golden KnightsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.