TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,447 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over55c47,210$25,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,244.453847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under44c27,872$12,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,267.521637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa398…6c83backed Over56c26,937$15,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,852.121681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick46cpaid+79.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under45c18,040$8,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,118.0812146.3%56 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under44c16,643$7,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,322.915949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under45c16,608$7,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,473.544850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c15,758$8,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,948.8528749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under44c15,715$6,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,907.551,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c15,000$8,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,699.9541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over55c13,975$7,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,288.8913841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under44c13,215$5,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,814.731,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over56c11,607$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,107.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over55c8,393$4,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.593756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c7,238$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.7261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under45c4,581$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.4513049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over54c3,191$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.7511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3206841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Under45c2,300$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0351250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under44c2,200$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.6376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8803548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.711631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under46c1,739$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-66.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under45c1,522$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.942948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Under45c1,468$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.61145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under28c1,253$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under46c1,220$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.09650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c1,167$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.1583149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44014653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a9…27b7backed Under45c931.06$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd1…cef5backed Over56c900.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe49…de5cbacked Under45c897.7$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under45c855.49$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.976847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under41c781.59$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9513336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under26c749.37$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2525345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under44c720$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.810346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c711.22$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.054542.2%19 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30832648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over65c679.14$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over56c608.93$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.936448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over63c585.51$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.221154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Under45c566.59$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.974247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under45c560$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over72c548$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2710166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under46c543.46$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under45c501.6$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.722147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over68c483.97$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.217047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under44c474.9$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9610846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over54c468.5$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5112355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de9…ee25backed Under19c465.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.123831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over56c438.59$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over56c415.51$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9412859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over55c388.76$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.943063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1db…1619backed Under44c387$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6411245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under36c361.52$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8543742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over55c335.71$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.612454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over55c320$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1447347.9%35 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over75c317$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over55c316.13$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2614254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over61c280$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf647…0ccbbacked Over45c279.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+88%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over56c251.79$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.799846.9%46 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under45c240$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over56c238.73$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.044761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over53c231.11$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.817147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over56c229.57$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.016100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4939…9adebacked Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under44c219.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.620855.8%116 W · 92 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under39c213.61$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9510746.7%50 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over68c209.6$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under44c196.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.671450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over78c184.63$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under8c183.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.512,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over62c182.14$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.218469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb723…d9dcbacked Over55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.22458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under45c172.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.731154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over56c170.03$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.551866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Under45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under22c159.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8722250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1184…a836backed Under45c144.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under29c142.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3114347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over55c135.45$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9527453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Over56c134.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.261275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over56c130.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under38c130.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1951343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Under9c128$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under45c121$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5497955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d4…9a0dbacked Under45c117.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.