TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9de9…ee25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4114.6%6 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$460
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$105.86
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+600.5%+$414.33
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.77
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.34
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.28
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.51
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.66
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.35
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.64
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.83
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$415.74
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.12
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$518.64
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+442.9%+$924.22
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$438.91
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$113.38
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.85
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+367.8%+$338.96
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.65
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.3
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.5
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$63.58
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+527.7%+$1,362.59
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.03
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.72
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.38
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$78.94
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$56.7
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+127.1%+$36.42
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+89.7%+$358.79
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$156.21
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$227.2
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$196.39
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$222.45
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$123.82
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$79.07
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$405
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$432
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$465.94
Panthers vs. Patriotsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.96
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$435
Titans vs. Texansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$313.83
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.46
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.97
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.36
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.67
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rockies vs. Giantsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$244
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+845.5%+$845.45
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+98%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+214%+$234.63
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+180%+$225
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$230
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+216.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+216.8%+$932.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs ZOTIX (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked ZOTIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michiganbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$352.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.