MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f6f1fca932f1eb01e9e35b105199820b18125a0de4f50e1571d8682c5117157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,145,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,151,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,145,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Marlins | 45c | 878,271$395,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395,222.08 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 55c | 246,181$135,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,781.42 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mets | 55c | 189,700$104,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,365 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 55c | 119,000$65,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,549.97 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Marlins | 45c | 100,929$45,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,128.75 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 55c | 99,948$54,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,976.47 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 55c | 80,000$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 55c | 74,563$40,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,815.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Mets | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Marlins | 46c | 49,786$22,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,901.37 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 56c | 25,385$14,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,261.55 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Mets | 56c | 17,004$9,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,511.77 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets | 56c | 12,222$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,377.68 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 60c | 11,204$6,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.75 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mets | 56c | 10,022$5,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.67 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 55c | 9,500$5,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 56c | 9,222$5,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,057.68 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 56c | 8,165$4,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,592.6 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Mets | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Mets | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.75 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Mets | 56c | 4,536$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.71 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 55c | 3,182$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.82 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 23c | 2,673$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mets | 56c | 2,182$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.14 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Mets | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Mets | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Marlins | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mets | 55c | 1,095$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.75 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 44c | 1,072$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.68 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marlins | 21c | 1,067$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Marlins | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 52c | 1,030$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.53 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Marlins | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Marlins | 22c | 913.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Marlins | 44c | 737$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.28 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Marlins | 3c | 699.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 45c | 672.24$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.51 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mets | 55c | 626.17$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.38 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Marlins | 44c | 616$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.04 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 43c | 580.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.68 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Mets | 55c | 508.89$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.89 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Mets | 55c | 500$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.14 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Mets | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 19c | 447.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Mets | 59c | 425.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Marlins | 24c | 422.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Marlins | 44c | 410$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Mets | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mets | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mets | 73c | 346.54$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 39c | 322.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Marlins | 13c | 315.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Mets | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Marlins | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 65c | 295$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Mets | 68c | 294.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Marlins | 12c | 293$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 20c | 286.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Mets | 70c | 285.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…9f71backed Mets | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mets | 56c | 257.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.71 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Mets | 56c | 246.86$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…120abacked Mets | 55c | 242.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mets | 59c | 239.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Mets | 54c | 231.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c6…5db4backed Marlins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Marlins | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 47c | 209$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Mets | 56c | 208.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 29c | 195.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Marlins | 33c | 155.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Mets | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Mets | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 53c | 112.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…5364backed Mets | 65c | 112.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Marlins | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Mets | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…8dfabacked Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…5503backed Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Mets | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Marlins | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…7b55backed Marlins | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Marlins | 45c | 91.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Mets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…73fdbacked Mets | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…af9cbacked Mets | 56c | 88.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Marlins | 30c | 83.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mets | 53c | 80.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mets | 55c | 80.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Marlins | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Marlins | 19c | 73.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Marlinsthis page
- New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.