TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf351…5364

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.23
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+96.3%+$77.04
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$33.14
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.09
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$23.6
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.44
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$70.3
Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$31.57
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$290.53
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$64.72
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.02
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$52.6
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$80.74
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.18
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$39.31
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-54.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.99
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$523.86
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$214.15
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$49.77
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Packers (-4.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.29
Spread: Packers (-10.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.7
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102.36
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.81
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$313.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Peru win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$374.38
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Will Japan win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.5
BYU vs. Coloradobacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$40.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$17.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+26.4%+$17.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$79.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.