MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273ad9d7acc752fc67e26f43d33b9cbd4e0da97c25321f21121db6407f3c2b53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Diamondbacks, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $504,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $509,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Padres | 60c | 356,309$213,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,547.51 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 80,651$32,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,634 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 75,430$30,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,167.72 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 57,443$23,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,026.24 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Padres | 59c | 53,000$31,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,730.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 18,699$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,479.6 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 16,700$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,679.99 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 13,842$5,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,536.81 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 10,952$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.75 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks | 39c | 8,060$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.05 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 60c | 7,963$4,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.22 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 7,093$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.36 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,998$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Padres | 61c | 5,905$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.06 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,579$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.89 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 5,015$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 4,454$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 3,946$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.21 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Padres | 59c | 3,606$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 3,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,900$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Padres | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 59c | 1,788$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 59c | 1,766$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.21 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,669$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Padres | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,469$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Padres | 57c | 1,436$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.39 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,379$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,275$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Padres | 58c | 1,095$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.9 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,072$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.24 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 999.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 892.56$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.95 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 737.83$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.51 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 737$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 695.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Padres | 61c | 650$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 634$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 616$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Padres | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 580.67$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.88 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Padres | 79c | 579.34$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 542.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Padres | 57c | 516.92$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8dacbacked Padres | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…c572backed Padres | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 499.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 492$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Diamondbacks | 10c | 443.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Padres | 56c | 442.29$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Padres | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 397.46$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Padres | 56c | 383$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…f84bbacked Padres | 61c | 344.86$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Padres | 58c | 342.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Padres | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Diamondbacks | 7c | 293.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Diamondbacks | 7c | 266.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…5364backed Padres | 68c | 254$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 55c | 215.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Diamondbacks | 28c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Diamondbacks | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…120abacked Padres | 60c | 183.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Padres | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 172.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Padres | 60c | 166.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 9c | 161.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 158.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 152.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Padres | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Diamondbacks | 13c | 120.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 117.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Padresthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.