TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66cc…d87a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$723.73
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+118.1%+$330.96
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$533
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$213.6
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$615
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$774
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$403
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+100%+$850
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+38.9%+$392
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,035.96
Cavaliers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+138.1%+$869.9
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST+61.3%+$207.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.94
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$240
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$189
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$88.5
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$324
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$252
Mets vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$324
Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$143.41
White Sox vs. Raysbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$98.99
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$82.22
Braves vs. Giantsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,223.5
Mets vs. Rockiesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$364
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$540
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.06
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$768.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$348.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.