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MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Mariners, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Athletics48c43,231$20,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,729.7815553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Mariners52c21,478$11,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,309.736258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,60054451.1%278 W · 266 L+23.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics47c16,082$7,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,622.91,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners53c15,868$8,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,509.5660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Mariners55c12,359$6,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,562.9313352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Mariners52c10,057$5,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,827.935248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Athletics48c9,826$4,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,716.320850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners67c8,964$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96436047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Athletics45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics15c5,658$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.682,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics46c5,290$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.591,15749.2%569 W · 588 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners52c5,165$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.1799549.9%497 W · 498 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics30c5,024$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50741747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Mariners54c4,754$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.733554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics36c4,726$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.259,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Athletics35c4,640$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.5738444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Mariners63c2,781$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.5324154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Athletics47c2,706$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.4450852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe22…397ebacked Mariners54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Athletics17c2,498$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.917833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Athletics23c2,494$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.5597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe837…0cfdbacked Athletics46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f71…5b8bbacked Athletics46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.36per pick48cpaid-69.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb22…c471backed Mariners54c2,300$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners52c1,947$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.221,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f9…fe42backed Mariners53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.79540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Mariners54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.851,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics9c1,681$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.486,30948.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee1…dae8backed Athletics45c1,455$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.556456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Athletics47c1,439$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.226949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics7c1,342$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7543946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66f9…d179backed Mariners52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9df…f649backed Mariners54c1,289$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3a…da24backed Athletics46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71b6…d35bbacked Athletics46c1,200$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f7e…d88bbacked Mariners54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.06540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed Athletics47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…4d70backed Mariners53c929.17$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.712437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x446e…4566backed Athletics48c923.73$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ee…541bbacked Athletics48c923.73$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd447…c718backed Athletics48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mariners52c899.98$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.991,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners51c879.26$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8443247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Athletics5c860$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b3d…f0c9backed Mariners53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3761090%9 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+75%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics29c759.47$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22216654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Athletics44c707$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics46c636.04$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.391,41548.9%692 W · 723 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a8…8466backed Mariners63c632.25$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.584761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Athletics47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28214549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed Athletics54c532$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0616162.1%100 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Mariners52c525.38$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.934434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x458d…694cbacked Athletics48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics48c492.93$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.615,23556.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L+130.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Mariners51c490.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.315642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Athletics54c475.64$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2319052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Mariners69c469.28$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4821656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Mariners54c457.93$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.656753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners53c397.35$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.382,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Athletics51c391.12$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.47837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics45c383.78$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.081,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Mariners53c375.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5910940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics48c365$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.273352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Athletics54c363$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0512868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Athletics54c358$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.727458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Athletics54c357$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5611963.9%76 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics44c350$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.580680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x1048…f83abacked Athletics48c350$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Athletics54c331$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8532754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…d87abacked Mariners53c305.12$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.411275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics45c299.92$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.962,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Athletics47c299.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.631,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics44c277.58$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1486751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics49c265.31$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5237…89babacked Athletics48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Mariners51c244$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5612552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics49c240$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.61,35950.8%690 W · 669 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…a66cbacked Athletics15c239.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.384647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners52c230$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.41,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics39c216.26$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.670841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics49c204.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb5…f2a5backed Athletics48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9650%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Mariners53c199.96$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9831347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Mariners63c196$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2314565.5%95 W · 50 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Mariners63c192.52$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1525364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6297…337fbacked Mariners53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Mariners54c182.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4531244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Athletics8c182.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1821246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Athletics55c178$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.931547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Mariners65c170.77$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7728447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe90…e89cbacked Mariners53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.811735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dde…8a88backed Athletics20c165.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0310451.9%54 W · 50 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Athletics48c162.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.185945.8%27 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dc4…7776backed Athletics47c157.19$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Mariners53c145.7$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4816552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics32c145.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.474,19750.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.