TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe90…e89c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pirates vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Royals vs. White Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$83.08
Red Sox vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$36.82
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$49.53
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.3
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$36.82
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.5
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$79.81
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$99.76
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 17 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+143.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$102.5
Liberty vs Lynxbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Valkyries vs Dreambacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$71.25
Storm vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+149.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Will Imavov win by decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+394.1%+$177.33
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+155.7%+$487.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Chargers backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$67.89
Colts vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$52.5
Chargers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.