TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Blue Jays, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$411,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ef4…412cbacked Dodgers45c80,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,999.768540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays52c72,849$37,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,71841747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays53c15,642$8,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,341.822,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers47c10,590$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.7429240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Dodgers55c9,266$5,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,177.762142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Dodgers51c9,099$4,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,414.3828646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays39c8,672$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.069,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays42c8,395$3,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5141,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Blue Jays47c8,101$3,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,768.8554345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Blue Jays26c7,534$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.9738444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Blue Jays45c5,093$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29233554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Dodgers55c4,560$2,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.9716352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays44c4,295$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.61,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays13c4,272$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.3542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers55c4,041$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.812,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Dodgers56c3,728$2,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6451,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Dodgers56c2,620$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.661,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Blue Jays22c2,380$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.3623545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays18c2,286$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.4738751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Dodgers50c2,201$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.2131248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a41…069abacked Blue Jays45c2,047$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.143228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Dodgers55c1,857$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.335642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays44c1,780$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.1843654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays3c1,701$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.381,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays42c1,624$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.1643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5681…cac8backed Dodgers56c1,432$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.865042%21 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers54c1,399$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.7495850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Dodgers41c1,294$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.9419452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Blue Jays45c1,250$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.55648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers43c1,151$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.1195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers54c1,118$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.995,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff8b…effcbacked Blue Jays5c1,027$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.567444.6%33 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays54c1,006$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.8621656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dodgers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Blue Jays44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44024248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbfd…1be9backed Blue Jays60c983.93$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.361030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers55c954.99$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.7573352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Dodgers71c914.53$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0418155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Blue Jays2c891.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.244754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Blue Jays46c874.78$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Blue Jays2c850$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.55053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays24c837.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays42c822.86$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.196133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Dodgers51c786.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.277556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers59c762.71$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7126651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays54c752.85$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.4980680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Blue Jays41c729.76$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.596558.5%38 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Blue Jays44c722.33$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8734245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Blue Jays45c699.61$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8316349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Dodgers55c672$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.423455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Blue Jays45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Dodgers56c666$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.0466645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays33c609.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Blue Jays55c603.31$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.725551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Blue Jays30c561.54$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1669947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Blue Jays45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers58c550$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Dodgers51c511.33$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.518236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays43c500.22$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30030842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Blue Jays45c495.11$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22216654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Dodgers56c456.7$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Blue Jays44c454.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x996c…d8b9backed Blue Jays50c440$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Dodgers55c439.81$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.919947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Blue Jays58c438.36$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2523938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays26c400.18$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.482,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b84…9d3bbacked Blue Jays49c399.61$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4418350.3%92 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Dodgers46c395.09$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.837651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Blue Jays42c381$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0217946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Blue Jays42c380.95$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Blue Jays44c344.83$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.721,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Blue Jays46c341$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.866347.6%30 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Dodgers56c336.09$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays45c333$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.851,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Blue Jays45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Blue Jays42c287.02$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5511449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Dodgers54c260.63$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.631,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Dodgers56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11021242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Blue Jays44c250$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccbf…dce5backed Blue Jays43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays52c230.86$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.176,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Blue Jays45c230$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.59447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed Blue Jays6c230$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers58c222.41$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Blue Jays46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.218649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Jays18c219.08$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4334164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeceb…19f2backed Blue Jays56c217.96$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.392958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3c…fb3fbacked Blue Jays45c204.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.132552%13 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays46c200.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8683248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Blue Jays30c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599554.7%52 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Dodgers50c198.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7819852.5%104 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers55c197.25$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7638455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Blue Jays43c183.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7813345.9%61 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.