TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Padres vs. Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Padres, Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,215,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,227,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,215,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Diamondbacks46c774,038$354,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354,409.9212043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres54c363,183$197,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,946.341,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Diamondbacks46c230,321$105,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,947.629440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres54c206,450$111,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,96722852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Padres54c101,000$54,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,73038751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres54c53,406$29,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,337.135952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Padres55c41,476$22,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,866.9650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Padres55c40,000$22,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Padres54c36,864$19,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,006.1360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Padres54c25,265$13,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,621.9223545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Padres54c24,000$12,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,04044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Padres54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,20053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Padres57c19,499$11,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,315.3617156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Diamondbacks44c18,503$8,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,141.3816347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Padres54c13,052$7,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,003.8738949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks33c12,489$4,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10328646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Padres67c11,073$7,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.071,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Padres56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4003470.6%24 W · 10 L+7.7wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Padres33c9,552$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,381.919,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Padres57c9,540$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.5916352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres55c7,995$4,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,578.0473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Padres57c7,400$4,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.8798149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Diamondbacks47c7,150$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,340.533845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Padres54c6,395$3,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.77147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Padres32c6,068$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.5534550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres35c6,055$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.595930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks69c5,836$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,036.9554345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecde…2465backed Diamondbacks43c5,348$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…fd93backed Padres57c5,264$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7423…8e0abacked Diamondbacks43c4,884$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres55c4,686$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.552,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks45c4,455$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.61,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks70c4,413$3,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.8941747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Padres54c4,254$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.8426355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks52c4,247$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.6118837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Padres49c4,182$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.1638444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Padres55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres54c3,900$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7941,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Padres55c3,798$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.0395850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Diamondbacks73c3,395$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.6225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Diamondbacks43c3,030$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.8133140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b6…8dccbacked Padres57c2,967$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Diamondbacks44c2,545$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.3712655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Padres37c2,400$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,51231248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Diamondbacks10c2,286$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x419d…7817backed Padres22c2,165$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.562661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8078…12debacked Padres57c2,105$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres49c2,050$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.7666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x645a…16adbacked Diamondbacks43c1,953$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Padres54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8289843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f75…f4a3backed Padres56c1,800$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Padres53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7991,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks44c1,693$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Padres53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75214446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6ea5backed Padres54c1,481$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.482751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks69c1,435$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.792,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Padres54c1,419$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6411947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Diamondbacks73c1,372$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Padres28c1,352$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.851,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…a693backed Diamondbacks44c1,300$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Padres72c1,252$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.579550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks72c1,231$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8921,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Padres44c1,225$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.631,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Padres54c1,129$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.3616551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Padres54c1,125$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.6818848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Padres56c1,089$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.945,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b56…4a30backed Padres57c1,018$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Padres54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4605743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Diamondbacks44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44024248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Diamondbacks51c982.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks44c949.84$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41565248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aea…03b2backed Padres57c935$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Diamondbacks42c899.53$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.85947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Padres56c888.92$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1240152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Padres54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3683756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks42c799.63$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8438249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4685…9ba8backed Diamondbacks75c793.66$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c47…970ebacked Padres54c787.95$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Padres56c766.69$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.31,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Padres53c750$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.4916651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Padres38c726.63$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.6330842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9c…c0f2backed Diamondbacks44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-78.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Diamondbacks43c698.98$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.5614148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Padres50c600$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30218243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres53c599.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9931347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks58c568.94$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.524,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Diamondbacks43c557.04$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5343247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Diamondbacks73c515.59$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3839739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks45c510.91$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.081,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Padres53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Diamondbacks43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21527733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Padres41c499.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.995667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Padres57c499.98$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.9912152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Diamondbacks73c454$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.4212868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Padres54c450$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.81,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Padres23c427.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4627213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Diamondbacks72c427.36$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2260052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Diamondbacks73c425.13$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.2527458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Padres59c407.53$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.482,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.