MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d4c2712c694706fd5e113bd54253f7550e53a3c0cba5addf279b049eeab2dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 15,375$8,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,266.35 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Pirates | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.99 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 2c | 7,365$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 47c | 3,068$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 46c | 2,869$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.45 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 2,660$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 53c | 2,212$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.36 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Cardinals | 5c | 1,459$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Pirates | 47c | 1,264$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.29 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pirates | 46c | 1,252$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.13 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates | 46c | 1,150$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.97 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 19c | 992.85$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 46c | 899.96$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cardinals | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 46c | 481.75$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.14 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 52c | 378.29$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…7aa1backed Pirates | 47c | 340.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be8…9d40backed Cardinals | 54c | 306.09$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 76c | 210$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 54c | 209.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 52c | 203.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Cardinals | 7c | 194.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Pirates | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…1904backed Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Cardinals | 6c | 175$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0299backed Cardinals | 55c | 163.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…e89cbacked Cardinals | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f87…838abacked Cardinals | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Pirates | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Cardinals | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Pirates | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Pirates | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…6e65backed Pirates | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…b30dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ae…fb25backed Pirates | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…9c8fbacked Pirates | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…29c3backed Cardinals | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…5a9fbacked Pirates | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…4d6dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8574…e2f9backed Cardinals | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…e8d8backed Pirates | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…eb80backed Cardinals | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…8db3backed Cardinals | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea56…6d3ebacked Pirates | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pirates | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Cardinals | 54c | 72.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 47c | 67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…2fb6backed Cardinals | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…3598backed Cardinals | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e06…eebebacked Pirates | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef95…9f8bbacked Pirates | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cardinals | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Cardinals | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Cardinals | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cardinals | 55c | 45.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…c71dbacked Pirates | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Pirates | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…e6ebbacked Pirates | 47c | 40.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Cardinals | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Pirates | 47c | 39.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Cardinals | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd110…ed30backed Cardinals | 54c | 34.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b15abacked Cardinals | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Cardinals | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x037a…17fcbacked Pirates | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…6ebfbacked Pirates | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Pirates | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Cardinals | 55c | 28.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…46c5backed Cardinals | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Cardinals | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Cardinals | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…b678backed Cardinals | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…2360backed Cardinals | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…0a05backed Cardinals | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…3231backed Cardinals | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Pirates vs. Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Cardinals (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.