WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0bf55a91ee83ffeb519ce9055ae132aca82bcb7bd81eae2d6872be62925b842
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Valkyries, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 24c | 5,156$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.23 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4bb7backed Dream | 75c | 4,356$3,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 66c | 3,618$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.08 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Dream | 76c | 2,390$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dream | 77c | 1,900$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…6b86backed Dream | 76c | 1,162$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Valkyries | 33c | 1,092$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.83 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Dream | 79c | 1,041$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dream | 76c | 1,015$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.72 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Valkyries | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Valkyries | 35c | 700$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.34 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dream | 55c | 620$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.13 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Dream | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Dream | 76c | 457.02$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dream | 77c | 433.83$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.05 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dream | 47c | 406.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.89 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dream | 30c | 366$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 63c | 340$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dream | 73c | 318.52$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Dream | 32c | 316.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valkyries | 23c | 300$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…22abbacked Valkyries | 23c | 286.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +112%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dream | 71c | 284.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…3ce7backed Dream | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dream | 75c | 208$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Valkyries | 22c | 207.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.11 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dream | 48c | 197.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 75c | 173.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Valkyries | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dream | 78c | 128.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Valkyries | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…e89cbacked Valkyries | 24c | 93.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Dream | 75c | 91$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Dream | 55c | 88.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Valkyries | 60c | 82.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 21c | 75.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Dream | 80c | 75.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Dream | 78c | 72.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Valkyries | 33c | 61.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Valkyries | 28c | 55.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Valkyries | 20c | 52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Dream | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Valkyries | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Dream | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa5…1415backed Dream | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebf…a871backed Dream | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Dream | 79c | 19.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Valkyries | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.