MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde80837481cf4016934ac340b22800f6c4d48372cceef08d7fb9dc5826649534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Braves | 47c | 33,416$15,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,705.48 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 53c | 29,039$15,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,646.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 47c | 25,222$11,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,854.34 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Braves | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Marlins | 54c | 12,383$6,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 53c | 10,638$5,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.96 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 53c | 9,087$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.8 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 53c | 6,433$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Braves | 47c | 5,767$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.52 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 54c | 5,263$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.12 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 53c | 4,795$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.56 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Marlins | 52c | 4,656$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.97 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Braves | 45c | 4,440$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Marlins | 55c | 4,321$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Braves | 47c | 4,106$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.51 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Braves | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 54c | 3,008$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.79 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Marlins | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Marlins | 55c | 2,707$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.51 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 49c | 2,144$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.96 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Marlins | 54c | 1,939$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.85 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.89 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Braves | 2c | 1,662$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 47c | 1,654$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 51c | 1,467$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.28 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Braves | 49c | 1,389$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.72 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 53c | 1,195$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.83 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Marlins | 54c | 1,093$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.59 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 46c | 944.7$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.56 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Marlins | 55c | 876.36$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.36 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Braves | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…b194backed Marlins | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Braves | 45c | 753.74$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.18 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Braves | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Marlins | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Braves | 45c | 699.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Braves | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…f2f3backed Braves | 50c | 602$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Marlins | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…f355backed Marlins | 50c | 592$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…4dc1backed Marlins | 50c | 588$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves | 46c | 587.53$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…4b33backed Braves | 50c | 578$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Braves | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Braves | 2c | 434$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Braves | 46c | 400.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Marlins | 53c | 400.53$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.53 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…9038backed Braves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…03a9backed Braves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…9434backed Marlins | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Marlins | 50c | 344.08$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Braves | 49c | 327$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 46c | 325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Braves | 48c | 315$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 47c | 306.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Braves | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 56c | 300$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 58c | 294.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…41a4backed Braves | 47c | 287.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…5dedbacked Braves | 48c | 284.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Braves | 46c | 278.28$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.01 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Marlins | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 51c | 249.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Braves | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marlins | 48c | 206.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Braves | 7c | 205.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Braves | 7c | 196.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Marlins | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Braves | 46c | 190$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Marlins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Braves | 50c | 182.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.47 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Marlins | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 52c | 178.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Marlins | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Braves | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Marlins | 62c | 160.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Braves | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Marlins | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 47c | 134.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Braves | 47c | 132.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 52c | 127.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Braves | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Marlins | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Braves | 26c | 109.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Marlins | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Braves | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa0…37f6backed Braves | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f97…048ebacked Marlins | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Marlins | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Marlins | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.