TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1eac…e064

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Braves vs. Royalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nationals vs. Astrosbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Marlins vs. Cardinalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Rockies vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Guardians vs. Royalsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Diamondbacks vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$104.76
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+122.3%+$122.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Commanders vs. Chargers: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Broncos vs. Eagles: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Raiders vs. Coltsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Browns (-3.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
WTA Cincinnati - Kudermetova vs. Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
ATP Cincinnati - Auger-Aliassime vs. Bonzi backed Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
ATP Cincinnati - Tiafoe vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Davidovich Fokinabacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
ATP Toronto – Nakashima vs. Sheltonbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Marozsanbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
ATP Toronto – Etcheverry vs. Cerundolobacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+91.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Spread: Texas (-6.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Boston College vs. Pittsburghbacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.