College Football · resolved market
Boston College vs. Pittsburgh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0f3818b81479dd3dfe2a506f88ed8a8b0125d03fb92c83e2fa379486c6734eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburghof Boston College, Pittsburgh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston College | 31c | 8,185$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pittsburgh | 70c | 5,717$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.26 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Boston College | 0c | 5,577$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh | 69c | 3,662$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.33 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Boston College | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pittsburgh | 69c | 2,558$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.98 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…2c31backed Boston College | 33c | 2,517$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pittsburgh | 68c | 1,367$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.42 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh | 69c | 1,248$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.88 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Boston College | 10c | 1,230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Boston College | 25c | 992.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh | 68c | 970.65$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Pittsburgh | 70c | 740.44$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Boston College | 27c | 652$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Boston College | 31c | 632.6$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Boston College | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pittsburgh | 69c | 499.25$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.77 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh | 74c | 429.37$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…7e99backed Boston College | 32c | 264$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Pittsburgh | 70c | 242.23$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Boston College | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Boston College | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Boston College | 30c | 185.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…41d1backed Pittsburgh | 69c | 179.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Boston College | 30c | 128.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Boston College | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston College | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Pittsburgh | 70c | 79.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Boston College | 30c | 63.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Boston College | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pittsburgh | 66c | 48.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…a77dbacked Boston College | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Boston College | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…dfaebacked Pittsburgh | 68c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston College vs. Pittsburghthis page
- Boston College vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 57.5Under won
- O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)Pittsburgh won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.