College Football · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8fefa1c21c403ef88f9007c803125fe2daaa09d0ceb4e1b0e6d78d8291e0afc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburghof Pittsburgh, Boston College
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pittsburgh | 50c | 3,898$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Boston College | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Boston College | 47c | 606.14$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.88 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Boston College | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Boston College | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Boston College | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Boston College | 49c | 137.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pittsburgh | 48c | 101.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Boston College | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed Boston College | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…a77dbacked Boston College | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pittsburgh | 48c | 38.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…4937backed Pittsburgh | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…a079backed Pittsburgh | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed Boston College | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Boston College | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)this page
- Boston College vs. PittsburghPittsburgh won
- Boston College vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 57.5Under won
- O/U 58.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.