MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd89362b75c12c6efb92982814d8eaa38215e3fc477e08c352eedc87e727924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Rockies, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Orioles | 65c | 4,050$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.35 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 12c | 3,359$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.37 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 65c | 3,167$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Rockies | 35c | 3,012$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.2 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Rockies | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 26c | 2,544$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies | 15c | 2,335$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.18 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Orioles | 65c | 2,038$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.3 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rockies | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.94 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies | 12c | 1,231$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 33c | 1,196$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.2 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 67c | 1,143$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.12 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 65c | 1,006$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.1 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Orioles | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 21c | 925.51$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 34c | 759.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.37 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rockies | 34c | 732.88$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rockies | 36c | 714.07$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Rockies | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Orioles | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Orioles | 66c | 594.79$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.23 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 33c | 544.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Orioles | 66c | 432.86$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.17 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Rockies | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Rockies | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 39c | 366.46$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 59c | 333$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Orioles | 66c | 315.3$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Orioles | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Orioles | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Rockies | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 32c | 297.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rockies | 34c | 293.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0661backed Orioles | 65c | 290$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 66c | 274.46$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…4660backed Rockies | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Orioles | 68c | 206$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Orioles | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Orioles | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Orioles | 66c | 190.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…8c01backed Rockies | 35c | 190$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Orioles | 65c | 180.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies | 35c | 162.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Orioles | 65c | 153.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…8b1abacked Orioles | 66c | 150.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Rockies | 36c | 149.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rockies | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Rockies | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies | 36c | 138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Orioles | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Orioles | 66c | 108.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 65c | 108.48$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 19c | 107.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…79e6backed Orioles | 66c | 106.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…ff0dbacked Orioles | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…4114backed Rockies | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c34…cd3bbacked Rockies | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e25…4dafbacked Orioles | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…673fbacked Rockies | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…bfd0backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f0…7dcdbacked Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…987cbacked Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…3744backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…9e16backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…4ec8backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…a5e1backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fc…4e6ebacked Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…48b7backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…c1b0backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08f…f4f9backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…8a3fbacked Rockies | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…9381backed Orioles | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…ee48backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…0548backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…ded5backed Orioles | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…6650backed Rockies | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…44c5backed Orioles | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…66febacked Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…6b30backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…f2d3backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…22adbacked Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…1203backed Orioles | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…9bd1backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebd…12e6backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7283…009cbacked Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…23e2backed Rockies | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Orioles | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…8ec4backed Orioles | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Rockies | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.