MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd15e305328309ab4b64f3a88f9c6e0ede089184048194fbee7c9cf71f703137c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Diamondbacks, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Pirates | 58c | 50,649$29,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,274.83 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 23,633$9,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,925.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pirates | 58c | 19,100$11,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,022 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 16,879$7,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,089.29 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 15,318$6,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,433.36 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…a564backed Pirates | 59c | 6,610$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 77c | 6,352$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.85 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks | 25c | 5,887$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 5,880$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.73 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 63c | 4,974$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.2 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 4,964$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.8 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5324…88f6backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 4,880$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8589…95bfbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…4da5backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 4,250$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc95…8533backed Pirates | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 4,103$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.24 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 4,009$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.04 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 58c | 3,963$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…cebcbacked Pirates | 60c | 3,667$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…a795backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd54f…ec81backed Pirates | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…ca73backed Pirates | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 3,013$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.33 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pirates | 57c | 2,465$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.81 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Pirates | 59c | 2,200$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 2,192$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.21 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Pirates | 59c | 1,770$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.81 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e21…2442backed Diamondbacks | 18c | 1,669$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…63d5backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,464$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Pirates | 57c | 1,441$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Pirates | 56c | 1,306$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.64 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Diamondbacks | 8c | 1,300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Pirates | 56c | 1,300$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.5 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…d0c0backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,214$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.16 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…3b2fbacked Pirates | 60c | 1,160$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,111$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 1,063$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Pirates | 78c | 1,043$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.04 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Diamondbacks | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 76c | 998.44$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.44 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 66c | 941.43$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.19 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Diamondbacks | 3c | 903.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates | 57c | 878.96$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.95 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 874.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 60c | 816$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 778.33$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.33 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 760$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 742.38$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.22 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 732.95$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.18 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 57c | 634$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.62 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 38c | 618.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 65c | 600.49$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 582.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…9398backed Diamondbacks | 42c | 577.84$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Diamondbacks | 27c | 560.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pirates | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 60c | 479.58$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.58 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 453.97$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.53 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Pirates | 57c | 452$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.36 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pirates | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Pirates | 57c | 428.07$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.07 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 58c | 407.14$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.14 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Diamondbacks | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Pirates | 73c | 361.29$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…9517backed Pirates | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 320.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 300.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Pirates | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 292.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 290.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…e064backed Pirates | 60c | 261.9$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 260.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 250.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 73c | 244.45$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pirates | 59c | 244$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Pirates | 70c | 242.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 231.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 225.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 20c | 220$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pirates | 58c | 219.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…8b1abacked Pirates | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pirates | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…f2a3backed Pirates | 59c | 163.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Pirates | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 59c | 153$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.