TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc62f…f330

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT14649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$100.66
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+150%+$22.5
Blue Jays vs. Marlinsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+80.2%+$88.2
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$106.42
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$166.53
Blue Jays vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Guardians vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Cardinals vs. Raysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+108.2%+$51.92
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$124.15
Giants vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$101.38
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$134.51
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$99.47
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.65
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.32
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$357.22
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$462
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+132.1%+$58.11
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+165%+$62.7
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+150%+$90
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.82
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+136.2%+$288.81
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-74.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$178.18
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $150m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $128-139m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.04
Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$185
Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$102.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sun vs. Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Ramsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.