Movies · resolved market
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54023e8b49c03fec0ea502acc1fd255edc292c2bf987c6259d95f0021c5d97e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $658,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 3c | 44,139$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.13 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 69c | 34,832$23,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,907.92 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 30c | 34,640$10,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,412.6 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5115…b61dbacked Yes | 12c | 27,727$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.04 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 38c | 27,386$10,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,370.34 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 80c | 19,248$15,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.87 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…0f1fbacked Yes | 30c | 16,298$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…d3c7backed Yes | 19c | 16,090$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Yes | 36c | 15,597$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,588.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 7c | 14,562$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes | 23c | 12,786$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.29 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 33c | 10,200$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,324.66 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388f…4083backed Yes | 9c | 10,030$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…3186backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.8 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 64c | 9,333$5,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.67 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d4e9backed Yes | 61c | 9,258$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…ae75backed Yes | 43c | 9,030$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes | 29c | 8,579$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.9 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…9f2bbacked Yes | 16c | 7,763$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 21c | 7,711$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.12 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…a993backed Yes | 37c | 7,353$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…85f0backed Yes | 33c | 7,153$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…fbb3backed Yes | 7c | 7,041$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 49c | 6,454$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.74 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 32c | 6,444$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.63 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20e…d622backed Yes | 29c | 6,403$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…a6b3backed Yes | 18c | 5,508$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 72c | 5,288$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 20c | 5,189$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.38 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 60c | 5,050$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 28c | 4,859$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.36 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…9dafbacked Yes | 6c | 4,805$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked Yes | 15c | 4,000$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,791$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.56 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 35c | 3,700$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.6 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 44c | 3,500$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.61 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 3,170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 21c | 2,792$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 31c | 2,791$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.22 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 65c | 2,704$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.27 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 21c | 2,564$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,480$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.2 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 78c | 2,398$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.52 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 32c | 2,369$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.83 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…34e6backed Yes | 9c | 2,346$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 39c | 2,274$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.52 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 65c | 2,083$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 19c | 2,012$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…c5debacked Yes | 1c | 2,010$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f9…eb40backed Yes | 21c | 1,887$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 18c | 1,872$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.1 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 69c | 1,866$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed Yes | 18c | 1,800$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…9475backed Yes | 28c | 1,776$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…626dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,731$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…c807backed Yes | 31c | 1,634$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…fdb4backed Yes | 26c | 1,584$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 52c | 1,521$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.81 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2df3backed Yes | 62c | 1,458$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Yes | 34c | 1,441$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.95 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 59c | 1,434$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.43 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 18c | 1,420$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6735backed Yes | 27c | 1,416$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Yes | 24c | 1,390$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.14 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Yes | 20c | 1,362$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d33…5a2ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,280$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…324dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,236$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 33c | 1,229$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…f6e5backed No | 61c | 1,158$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…105dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,060$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…2eabbacked Yes | 9c | 1,050$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 1,046$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.94 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,030$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4714…c177backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes | 20c | 968.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…1c24backed Yes | 5c | 952.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27a8…4902backed Yes | 22c | 927.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…cd8bbacked Yes | 47c | 924.34$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…8a6abacked Yes | 11c | 905.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 27c | 904.54$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…6eddbacked Yes | 42c | 892.97$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…5eddbacked Yes | 33c | 877$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.53 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed No | 75c | 876$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…dbe2backed Yes | 16c | 866.32$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 63c | 842.34$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…16fbbacked Yes | 26c | 840.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 42c | 830.01$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…321abacked Yes | 23c | 820$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…1dbabacked Yes | 9c | 803.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d8…e57abacked Yes | 63c | 799.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed Yes | 30c | 742.61$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 66c | 728.25$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb10…0d34backed Yes | 18c | 723.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…f553backed Yes | 30c | 719$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…7d39backed Yes | 15c | 707.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 20c | 706.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.44 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…94f0backed Yes | 57c | 705.77$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?this page
- Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $100-108m?No won
- Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $108-116m?No won
- Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?No won
- Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.