Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e964d8edfe37d013acc7ced33feb0bbbe55ac30847a74e9bf85b8e083dd49f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 4c | 35,836$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.5 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 4c | 14,000$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.89 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 5c | 10,843$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.17 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 10,689$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…23d9backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed Yes | 11c | 7,924$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.99 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…daf5backed Yes | 5c | 6,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.28 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 4c | 4,355$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,298$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…1fb3backed Yes | 2c | 4,055$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 4c | 3,772$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.22 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 4c | 3,710$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 5c | 3,461$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,084$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ea…d556backed Yes | 3c | 2,955$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,587$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,500$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.21 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…070ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…e4a0backed Yes | 5c | 2,198$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…0403backed Yes | 13c | 2,102$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 2c | 2,027$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,937$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…cddabacked Yes | 5c | 1,900$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 3c | 1,817$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 4c | 1,747$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…2bf0backed Yes | 2c | 1,595$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8f…4b8abacked Yes | 4c | 1,417$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…0400backed Yes | 8c | 1,318$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,311$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…99f0backed Yes | 5c | 940.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 18c | 921.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 885.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 857.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…789ebacked Yes | 4c | 792.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…ef6ebacked Yes | 7c | 754.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 22c | 730$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…c9eabacked Yes | 3c | 717.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Yes | 2c | 650.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…67f4backed Yes | 3c | 646.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…8cebbacked Yes | 3c | 569$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…74e4backed Yes | 2c | 563$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Yes | 4c | 549.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…03cdbacked Yes | 4c | 499.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…87a7backed Yes | 4c | 489.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…b8aebacked Yes | 2c | 482$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba66…2c2dbacked Yes | 4c | 471$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf231…0fe6backed Yes | 3c | 470$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…18d5backed Yes | 4c | 458$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd706…fac2backed Yes | 4c | 457.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed Yes | 4c | 444.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0530…38d0backed Yes | 4c | 442$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 24c | 426$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 407.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…45aebacked Yes | 23c | 400$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…0525backed Yes | 4c | 399$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…2e81backed Yes | 5c | 396.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…d03dbacked Yes | 4c | 389$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 18c | 320$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 6c | 311.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 4c | 294.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…f13dbacked Yes | 4c | 283.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…fcb0backed Yes | 4c | 279$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…7c64backed Yes | 5c | 265.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 260$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…b49fbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 5c | 205$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 5c | 200.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…06c5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 6c | 198.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 90 | 24.4%22 W · 68 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…7ee1backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ab…9c67backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Yes | 18c | 121.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…c30abacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…012dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…c139backed Yes | 22c | 83.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 20c | 79.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…5513backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…0b68backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…bd21backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?this page
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.