Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52dde4a6bf4493e06461504e2651dc090b0e11bcdc6d486f727b0272d8e8880e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $586,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $614,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aac…1b36backed Yes | 65c | 38,942$25,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…53b0backed Yes | 46c | 29,034$13,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,678.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…6a77backed No | 54c | 29,034$15,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,678.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 72c | 27,277$19,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,635.72 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed No | 31c | 26,107$8,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,078.61 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked No | 27c | 21,679$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…689cbacked Yes | 70c | 21,581$15,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,534.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 63c | 17,190$10,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,401.4 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 73c | 14,856$10,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…2efcbacked Yes | 71c | 14,134$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked No | 28c | 13,668$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.67 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2684…d3d6backed No | 34c | 13,607$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…a2a5backed Yes | 42c | 13,604$5,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 79c | 10,000$7,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 67c | 8,383$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.43 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…e7d8backed Yes | 75c | 8,090$6,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed No | 22c | 7,725$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.28 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…4cdbbacked Yes | 48c | 7,412$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed No | 28c | 7,060$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.18 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…705bbacked No | 28c | 6,780$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 71c | 6,108$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 33c | 5,946$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed Yes | 79c | 5,100$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…bcbcbacked No | 33c | 4,630$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 52c | 4,078$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 38c | 3,960$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.16 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…d258backed Yes | 76c | 3,952$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 3,810$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.7 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 20c | 3,753$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.57 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +159%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 67c | 3,540$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 75c | 3,234$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 70c | 3,182$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 69c | 3,177$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 65c | 2,691$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 70c | 2,633$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.93 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…47e9backed No | 67c | 2,500$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…45aebacked Yes | 16c | 2,288$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 56c | 2,267$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 2,247$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.28 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a9…a313backed No | 66c | 2,055$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ab…070ebacked No | 29c | 1,850$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,777$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 76c | 1,665$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked No | 21c | 1,626$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.3 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.11 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,562$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 28c | 1,553$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.43 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 75c | 1,508$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.01 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 33c | 1,483$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.95 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…af12backed Yes | 32c | 1,479$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…dd25backed No | 26c | 1,437$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…23d9backed No | 27c | 1,353$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…f2f0backed Yes | 78c | 1,313$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked No | 36c | 1,300$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.98 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,250$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 71c | 1,235$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed No | 24c | 1,205$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 77c | 1,191$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ec73backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 71c | 938.89$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 13c | 840.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked No | 46c | 834.1$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.62 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 25c | 818.71$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.93 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 816.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 72c | 815$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 25c | 803.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6c42backed Yes | 80c | 803$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…4ac4backed No | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…f665backed Yes | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ba50backed Yes | 72c | 770$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 17c | 719.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed No | 35c | 718.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed No | 26c | 717.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…4651backed No | 31c | 705.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.21 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 14c | 650.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabda…d0cbbacked Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b7…e1dfbacked No | 33c | 627.19$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e1…8290backed Yes | 69c | 601.13$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…ef3dbacked Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…013fbacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 74c | 569.08$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…132ebacked Yes | 53c | 566.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 28c | 558.75$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 77c | 551.43$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…21b7backed No | 38c | 540$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…3b70backed No | 29c | 530$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…dd29backed Yes | 78c | 518.91$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb38…a674backed Yes | 77c | 514.84$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a6…2295backed No | 58c | 510$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…1226backed Yes | 42c | 510$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2893…1534backed Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Yes | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 69c | 465.38$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf965…ccb0backed Yes | 17c | 460.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +485.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?this page
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1% and 0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.