TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe577…6c42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4468.2%30 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.5
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,853Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$1,847
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$152
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$89.25
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$9.9
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$6.45
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.2
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.6
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$4.45
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+281.7%+$36.9
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$26.39
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$297.11
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.8
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.85
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$30.32
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$10.6
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+189.4%+$99.61
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$316.09
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$128.24
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26.1%+$12.4
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,445Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+142.2%+$2,055
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,084.31
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$58.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$256.2
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.8
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$245.65
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.99
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.05
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$30
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+67%+$60.2
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.2
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Miami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+146.9%+$1,190
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$940
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$730
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+171.8%+$1,137.79
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$724.49
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,033.49
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.2
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$8.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.54
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+71.1%+$29.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+66.3%+$517.31
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$471
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$32
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.69
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$10.3
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+468.2%+$82.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+55%+$35.5
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$401.09
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.47
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$291.54
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$220.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$13.26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$230
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$113.99
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$298.5
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$515
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.14
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+35.6%+$7.51
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$402.69
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$650.49
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$40.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.54
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$163.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.4
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$59.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.1%+$155
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$182
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$11.93
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+204.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+204.5%+$466.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.