Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2dc88c738e220e0d21112eef3c4324de4289603ec2e76258ffe628a67271ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $497,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f03…8973backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 5c | 25,370$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.74 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 28c | 23,286$6,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,584.47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 70c | 15,702$10,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.18 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 15c | 15,058$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…3734backed No | 6c | 14,540$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…cc4cbacked No | 5c | 14,026$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 78c | 13,640$10,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked No | 21c | 13,500$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4c…853ebacked No | 3c | 10,786$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked No | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0955…8b81backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…44fdbacked No | 12c | 9,431$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked Yes | 70c | 9,209$6,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 18c | 8,137$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.93 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 73c | 7,727$5,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.99 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 26c | 7,267$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.81 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…6d1dbacked No | 26c | 7,249$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 16c | 7,207$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.93 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e0…b6f5backed No | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…0ad5backed Yes | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 74c | 6,304$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.4 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…01b3backed No | 32c | 6,229$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…c974backed Yes | 75c | 5,863$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f8…26a7backed No | 25c | 5,162$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed No | 1c | 4,753$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 79c | 4,419$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Yes | 68c | 4,385$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked No | 12c | 4,200$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 36c | 3,933$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 14c | 3,683$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.51 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…0ebcbacked No | 40c | 3,664$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…abaebacked No | 29c | 3,400$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…41e2backed No | 9c | 3,350$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…5077backed No | 25c | 3,314$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…45c5backed No | 21c | 3,312$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0147…85d4backed No | 22c | 3,244$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…6444backed No | 29c | 3,136$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…7640backed No | 37c | 3,034$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked No | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 17c | 2,870$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.58 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 22c | 2,727$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked No | 22c | 2,684$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.63 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 24c | 2,572$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.38 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…aaddbacked No | 38c | 2,500$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 75c | 2,500$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.49 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…b2eabacked Yes | 75c | 2,500$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea85…0c0cbacked Yes | 75c | 2,494$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3140…21f1backed No | 25c | 2,474$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 19c | 2,378$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.18 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…ef1fbacked No | 4c | 2,266$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd394…587ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,260$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 11c | 2,218$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.66 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763b…f5cebacked Yes | 72c | 2,111$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Yes | 76c | 2,065$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…ae5abacked No | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 19c | 1,956$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.26 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 76c | 1,954$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 77c | 1,937$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…6a45backed No | 6c | 1,900$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 30c | 1,856$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9d…3a63backed Yes | 75c | 1,800$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed No | 29c | 1,723$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 74c | 1,708$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 72c | 1,600$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.49 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…892fbacked No | 8c | 1,486$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 24c | 1,485$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.66 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…b5debacked Yes | 70c | 1,431$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…7a82backed No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902a…730cbacked No | 7c | 1,382$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…30e4backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 22c | 1,361$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.42 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…4b92backed Yes | 80c | 1,358$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 77c | 1,354$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.26 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…f4aabacked No | 22c | 1,343$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…4138backed No | 45c | 1,323$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…09f3backed Yes | 69c | 1,302$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed No | 1c | 1,273$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8080…5127backed No | 5c | 1,273$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999e…b3a6backed No | 8c | 1,207$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…ddf2backed No | 19c | 1,171$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…9ed5backed No | 25c | 1,155$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…0d67backed No | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,119$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…2df0backed No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…21bbbacked No | 27c | 1,105$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3805…c203backed No | 25c | 1,093$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf478…aaa2backed No | 22c | 1,045$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…11d5backed No | 20c | 1,037$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 73c | 1,030$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.16 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…5747backed No | 16c | 1,026$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked No | 15c | 1,025$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…cb04backed Yes | 65c | 1,021$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 73c | 1,018$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 23c | 1,011$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 12c | 1,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.