Olympics · resolved market
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70b8b1e935b189e95f71f1a8eec18bfeb876ff2b39b8ddd25dace2ff9f51f4e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $738,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $708,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $738,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 3c | 105,572$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.26 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 66c | 68,603$44,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,629.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 65c | 16,538$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,788.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 62c | 11,168$6,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.9 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 17c | 10,882$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 49c | 10,336$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,275.56 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed No | 33c | 10,326$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.69 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 40c | 9,416$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 72c | 9,372$6,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.49 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 50c | 7,980$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 33c | 7,960$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 68c | 7,406$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…e14dbacked No | 36c | 6,901$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed No | 39c | 6,560$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 78c | 6,433$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 74c | 6,358$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Yes | 73c | 5,895$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed No | 38c | 5,466$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…fa31backed Yes | 55c | 5,465$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cd…b120backed No | 64c | 5,326$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed No | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 41c | 4,500$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed No | 40c | 4,362$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 51c | 4,332$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed No | 1c | 4,180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 44c | 3,898$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked No | 39c | 3,864$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 19c | 3,426$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.67 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Yes | 76c | 3,279$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…5700backed No | 29c | 3,224$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…d0bdbacked Yes | 64c | 3,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Yes | 65c | 3,120$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 36c | 3,025$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.21 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 38c | 2,862$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…9c3fbacked No | 32c | 2,748$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.95 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 58c | 2,729$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed No | 27c | 2,714$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.35 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 55c | 2,687$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.04 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 29c | 2,621$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 24c | 2,524$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.16 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 72c | 2,327$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.24 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 52c | 2,248$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 48c | 2,119$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…71a0backed No | 0c | 2,116$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1d…4c28backed No | 51c | 2,097$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 36c | 2,002$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.45 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 1,842$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.23 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…045abacked No | 41c | 1,835$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 53c | 1,808$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.27 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…69ddbacked No | 22c | 1,711$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6f43backed No | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9d24backed No | 43c | 1,654$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…3591backed No | 57c | 1,636$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…137cbacked No | 37c | 1,514$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.66 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…478dbacked No | 2c | 1,468$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 32c | 1,416$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed Yes | 45c | 1,400$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.57 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Yes | 75c | 1,330$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 79c | 1,300$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…1c81backed Yes | 43c | 1,299$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 1,254$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…62fdbacked No | 1c | 1,251$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked No | 37c | 1,234$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…5999backed Yes | 53c | 1,228$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…b34ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,204$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed No | 45c | 1,188$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed No | 14c | 1,133$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,115$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes | 63c | 1,074$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 58c | 1,044$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 41c | 1,013$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3e…8af2backed Yes | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Yes | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 54c | 999.99$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…ac62backed Yes | 57c | 995$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 981.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed No | 38c | 979.04$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 35c | 968.53$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.83 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…d368backed Yes | 59c | 965.58$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Yes | 70c | 941.81$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…4cc6backed Yes | 34c | 940.84$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Yes | 53c | 936.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 18c | 925.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Yes | 45c | 900.13$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7a…055cbacked Yes | 56c | 896.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 53c | 885.12$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.78 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 50c | 870.09$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.24 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed No | 60c | 862.98$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…90c3backed No | 41c | 859.14$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…23c8backed No | 44c | 844.15$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed No | 24c | 831.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed Yes | 60c | 828.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 69c | 816.27$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…ad49backed Yes | 67c | 800$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Yes | 77c | 780.02$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…e174backed No | 43c | 773.57$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 40c | 765.65$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.