Olympics · resolved market
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf84ac41b70ed44d89a0786172528475afbc41b1de41955e53bf403dcb29835c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $601,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 4c | 75,579$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.03 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 6c | 36,337$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.52 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 38c | 19,292$7,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,411.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 27c | 16,466$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.41 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 76c | 12,595$9,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 67c | 12,068$8,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.31 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 33c | 11,164$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 3c | 10,214$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.27 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…c993backed Yes | 20c | 9,574$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…ffd4backed Yes | 0c | 9,420$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 36c | 8,104$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed Yes | 11c | 7,273$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 47c | 7,219$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes | 3c | 6,270$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 36c | 5,836$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Yes | 34c | 5,243$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…0852backed Yes | 2c | 5,064$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…b8c6backed Yes | 61c | 4,638$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2667…237cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,530$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 7c | 4,310$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…fa31backed No | 70c | 3,833$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…8de1backed Yes | 29c | 3,747$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed Yes | 48c | 3,599$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 38c | 3,583$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 4c | 3,518$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 34c | 3,001$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 13c | 2,995$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…514bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,774$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed Yes | 10c | 2,747$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 2,728$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb3…0747backed Yes | 1c | 2,520$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,443$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 76c | 2,376$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 2,297$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,223$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…5adfbacked Yes | 8c | 2,167$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Yes | 31c | 2,129$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 2,116$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes | 2c | 2,110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 5c | 2,031$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…2a38backed Yes | 27c | 1,950$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 9c | 1,918$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…d368backed Yes | 37c | 1,908$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 4c | 1,850$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 19c | 1,832$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 4c | 1,820$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 28c | 1,783$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…eb68backed Yes | 6c | 1,688$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,659$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3acd…5cd0backed Yes | 50c | 1,638$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…76cabacked Yes | 22c | 1,595$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf427…15e1backed Yes | 34c | 1,578$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c8dcbacked Yes | 32c | 1,570$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,547$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…281bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,530$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 36c | 1,525$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 1,412$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 22c | 1,405$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 49c | 1,380$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,375$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 63c | 1,325$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 27c | 1,288$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.95 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 10c | 1,281$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f2fbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,254$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 12c | 1,238$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…0871backed Yes | 7c | 1,219$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 16c | 1,206$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 7c | 1,164$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…95babacked Yes | 4c | 1,163$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 18c | 1,157$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Yes | 18c | 1,117$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f0d0backed Yes | 50c | 1,094$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 7c | 1,076$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5f…5ef0backed Yes | 1c | 1,068$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,028$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…23c8backed Yes | 19c | 1,020$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1a2dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…ac62backed Yes | 33c | 994.61$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 12c | 968.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd844…da79backed Yes | 60c | 961.46$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…90c3backed Yes | 27c | 938.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 38c | 926.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 24c | 892.39$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.26 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Yes | 27c | 865.29$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7038…6647backed Yes | 9c | 842.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 2c | 819.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 45c | 811.6$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…5999backed Yes | 62c | 809$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806d…f8c7backed Yes | 26c | 776.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Yes | 33c | 774.85$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Yes | 46c | 773.19$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…6a8dbacked Yes | 8c | 770.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…6e36backed Yes | 30c | 763.59$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 7c | 760.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.