Olympics · resolved market
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c0836b9fbad20f9411e4951e777b18ba0e8cd08ce1bf2c0f6ebc0465d11ed41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 7c | 21,758$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.63 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…2deebacked Yes | 0c | 17,260$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…ffd2backed Yes | 0c | 17,260$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…d17bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,260$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…968cbacked Yes | 0c | 17,260$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…d8cabacked Yes | 0c | 17,260$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…447abacked Yes | 0c | 17,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…ea7cbacked Yes | 6c | 11,046$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,887$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5f…5ef0backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 3c | 7,009$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 6,606$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…514bbacked Yes | 9c | 5,290$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 9c | 5,169$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.53 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 20c | 4,530$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 11c | 4,327$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cd…316abacked Yes | 1c | 4,162$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…c993backed Yes | 26c | 4,113$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 5c | 4,031$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.45 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 13c | 4,000$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.35 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 2c | 2,511$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 6c | 2,497$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.22 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…099ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,481$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,354$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Yes | 1c | 2,233$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bc…6b09backed Yes | 6c | 2,089$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 23c | 2,005$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.71 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,975$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked Yes | 6c | 1,750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 6c | 1,697$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…0d6bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,606$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed No | 75c | 1,489$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.05 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…1266backed Yes | 28c | 1,427$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 28c | 1,412$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3465…7082backed Yes | 5c | 1,370$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,239$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 1c | 1,156$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae21…1240backed Yes | 23c | 1,075$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…5bf8backed Yes | 3c | 1,075$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 5c | 1,066$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 1,012$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1a2dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…6badbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 910$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…5adfbacked Yes | 28c | 906.34$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.83 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 17c | 899.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 8c | 860$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 811.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…3e23backed Yes | 6c | 799.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 17c | 786.4$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 10c | 760.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked No | 77c | 759.96$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f4…d2d7backed Yes | 7c | 717.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 713.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…6335backed Yes | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 5c | 699.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 9c | 649.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 2c | 608.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 23c | 599.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…4628backed Yes | 3c | 553.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 7c | 535.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…23c8backed Yes | 13c | 528.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…e333backed Yes | 3c | 510.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Yes | 4c | 499.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0a…c5c0backed Yes | 21c | 476.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 26c | 455.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…fde2backed Yes | 6c | 451.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 68c | 420$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…fe22backed Yes | 8c | 408.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…613cbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…55fabacked Yes | 25c | 398.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…4cc6backed Yes | 31c | 374$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…0af0backed Yes | 10c | 350.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 78c | 350.29$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 29c | 341.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Yes | 22c | 341.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes | 27c | 336.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427b…371ebacked Yes | 22c | 316.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Yes | 22c | 308.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…2548backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 69c | 282.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3b…e5aabacked Yes | 26c | 266.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 6c | 261.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…169dbacked Yes | 12c | 260$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 30c | 254.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed Yes | 23c | 237.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…4cdebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…0848backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…8363backed Yes | 9c | 176$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…756cbacked Yes | 9c | 163.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 22c | 155$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 13c | 149.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.