TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x555f…012b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhu Jiner win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Will Vaishali R win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will Javokhir Sindarov vs. Hikaru Nakamura end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.62
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.92
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Abhimanyu Mishra win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.32
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wesley So win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$149.59
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$561.65
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$460.68
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.55
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$41.4
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Viswanathan Anand win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+747.1%+$373.55
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+36.1%+$26.43
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$22
Will Ding Liren win Game 12 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+392.3%+$156.9
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 8 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT2516%4 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-59.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$52.2
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.53
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.43
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.48
Will Maria Steen win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Starmer out before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.28
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+265.8%+$289.2
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$79.3
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will George Simion win by over 18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.7
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.9
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Karol Nawrocki win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.3
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$496
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,289.27
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.61
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.73
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.16
Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.71
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34.2
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$529.63
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$132.58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,386.19
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.6
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.4%+$130.15
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.65
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$45.24
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$321.3
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$65.36
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.12
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$63.7
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$45.56
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+81.2%+$143.6
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+352.6%+$227.88
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$345.39
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.5
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$942.18
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+113.6%+$134.26
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.66
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$122.6
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55.74
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.65
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.42
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Juventus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$182.48
Will Inter win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$392.19
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$190.93
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will the match between Aston Villa and Juventus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+233.3%+$42
Will Juventus beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+203.7%+$156.39
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Will Lecce be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will Pisa be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.5
Will Verona be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.86
Will Parma be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.94
Will Lazio win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.63
Will Verona vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.44
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+28%+$97.65
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+96.5%+$199.5
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.76
Will Inter Milan beat Torino? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+80.6%+$116
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+131.3%+$682.75
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.9
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+60.4%+$366.64
Will Jasmine Paolini win the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$66
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-80.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.13
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.44
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.68
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.81
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+127.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$79.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$70.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.