Will George Simion win by 6–12%?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d8ce69c050958e23157fb33c80355e38216775ff46156c1ba1178060566f565

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 21, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,095,503
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,344,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,095,503 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4621…efccbacked Yes	15c	134,448$19,721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,721.17	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8795…7544backed Yes	12c	62,390$7,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,332.46	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes	16c	62,300$9,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,694.98	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec2a…81c1backed Yes	1c	59,613$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-53%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	0c	53,600$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	16c	50,258$8,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,056.61	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes	15c	47,714$7,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,282.03	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+69%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes	0c	43,121$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.63	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes	11c	35,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,999.99	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…0843backed Yes	15c	27,190$4,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,026.46	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes	19c	21,000$3,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,989.97	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	15c	20,623$3,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,116.5	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes	11c	20,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x063d…3567backed Yes	13c	20,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes	12c	19,935$2,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,392.18	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20b9…ac98backed Yes	13c	19,527$2,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,620	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bc…9be9backed Yes	11c	18,664$1,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,970.41	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…5353backed Yes	13c	18,627$2,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,390.95	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes	17c	18,000$3,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,135.94	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b0…4f37backed Yes	19c	16,208$3,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,051	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc01c…d7f5backed Yes	0c	15,728$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes	13c	14,900$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,871.8	101	22.8%23 W · 78 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Yes	1c	14,258$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.23	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e83…44babacked Yes	15c	13,073$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes	18c	13,000$2,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,340	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	16c	13,000$2,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,129.99	121	29.8%36 W · 85 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d65…16d4backed Yes	15c	12,085$1,846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,846.5	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	13c	10,400$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes	15c	10,253$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,498.1	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc4…70eebacked Yes	9c	10,038$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.43	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	14c	10,000$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed Yes	16c	10,000$1,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.09	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	+150.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd289…584bbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes	13c	9,906$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305.21	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x356a…17e7backed Yes	12c	9,324$1,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,118.87	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes	14c	8,648$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.09	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes	13c	8,251$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.49	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42a…ab3ebacked Yes	1c	8,182$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	17c	8,078$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350.37	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	17c	7,883$1,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,301.67	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ec2…bcd2backed Yes	13c	7,699$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.04	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f29…dd03backed Yes	19c	7,511$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes	16c	7,500$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.9	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ca…198bbacked Yes	19c	7,316$1,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,390	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes	15c	7,158$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.66	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes	19c	7,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c19…17febacked Yes	19c	6,691$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288.46	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes	13c	6,483$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.15	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	18c	6,035$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.59	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes	9c	6,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	-20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x779d…c3b9backed Yes	9c	5,845$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.8	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	11c	5,836$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.4	160	29.4%47 W · 113 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x314a…2fbdbacked Yes	11c	5,803$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.05	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68f…e963backed Yes	18c	5,704$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	19c	5,113$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$958.56	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes	17c	5,083$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.48	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0115…3c01backed Yes	19c	5,053$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.53	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+111.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ae…b85dbacked Yes	15c	5,030$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.64	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8341…de89backed Yes	15c	5,000$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730	29	31%9 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	14c	5,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0deb…12c9backed Yes	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	13c	5,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	148	34.5%51 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe743…7038backed Yes	16c	4,958$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.62	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…cbf7backed Yes	1c	4,929$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.26	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes	15c	4,708$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.56	148	32.4%48 W · 100 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9262…59febacked Yes	22c	4,322$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes	16c	4,310$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.58	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…2a57backed Yes	1c	4,182$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9dd…0a59backed Yes	15c	4,027$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.66	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	+46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4a…171fbacked Yes	14c	4,011$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.04	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes	20c	4,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes	17c	4,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Yes	18c	4,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	180	36.7%66 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Yes	11c	4,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.9	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes	13c	4,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes	3c	3,992$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.92	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	12c	3,972$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.49	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eda…d4ddbacked Yes	15c	3,872$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.11	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d12…caa9backed Yes	13c	3,800$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.04	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed Yes	11c	3,760$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.46	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes	3c	3,719$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.96	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	14c	3,402$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.78	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc91c…1a87backed Yes	19c	3,286$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.65	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…56b9backed Yes	14c	3,206$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes	18c	3,200$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	12c	3,129$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.53	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ef…9ff4backed Yes	22c	3,104$681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.32	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-53%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc356…1c77backed Yes	18c	3,065$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.54	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…fec5backed Yes	14c	3,062$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.44	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62e8…1c53backed Yes	20c	3,062$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.03	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a88…f866backed Yes	13c	3,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d8b…14ccbacked Yes	15c	3,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes	7c	3,000$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Yes	14c	3,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+6.3wins	+0.19per pick	30cpaid	+24%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes	10c	3,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	2,829$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.17	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e45…70d8backed Yes	13c	2,648$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf85f…9800backed Yes	19c	2,632$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	50	46%23 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes	4c	2,600$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will George Simion win by 6–12%?this page
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?No won
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?No won
Will George Simion win by over 18%?No won
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?No won
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes won
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?No won
Will another candidate win?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will George Simion win by 6–12%?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event