World Politics · resolved market
Will another candidate win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ecf34a2399b462472b0c9ffb9d714b855fd0ce177357ee5a2159a83798f968a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,642,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $846,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,642,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 0c | 209,470$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.47 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 101,256$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa275…c758backed Yes | 2c | 90,788$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9c…2f3ebacked Yes | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 0c | 84,446$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 0c | 76,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.88 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…7828backed Yes | 0c | 70,744$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 68,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 1c | 65,311$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 1c | 59,331$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…2055backed Yes | 1c | 57,647$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f95…1ecfbacked Yes | 0c | 57,587$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…9381backed Yes | 1c | 55,856$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…9ebfbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 0c | 46,713$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 0c | 33,315$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…c3b9backed Yes | 0c | 29,988$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…17e7backed Yes | 0c | 28,670$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…a4e4backed Yes | 0c | 27,133$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…626bbacked Yes | 0c | 26,880$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7dfbbacked Yes | 0c | 26,782$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…e62dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3455…ae6abacked Yes | 0c | 20,781$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d81…fc1ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,100$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7f…4dcdbacked Yes | 0c | 20,075$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 17,724$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 0c | 17,458$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 1c | 16,164$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +69%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…5074backed Yes | 1c | 15,076$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…6f8abacked Yes | 0c | 12,622$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…b069backed Yes | 1c | 11,141$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359a…08d2backed Yes | 0c | 10,398$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322c…4aa0backed Yes | 0c | 10,061$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…b81cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…4a76backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…0c73backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…5a45backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…ffb9backed Yes | 0c | 9,754$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9f…d5f7backed Yes | 0c | 9,390$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7f…ec46backed Yes | 1c | 9,369$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,190$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d02…446abacked Yes | 1c | 9,169$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf7…da04backed Yes | 1c | 9,026$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…2fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 8,980$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 1c | 8,917$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…5b18backed Yes | 0c | 8,682$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…8ffbbacked Yes | 1c | 8,341$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 8cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed6…4c6bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,876$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…3c01backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…e3c2backed Yes | 0c | 6,953$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ec…925dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,880$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…0737backed Yes | 0c | 6,570$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 0c | 6,495$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…355abacked Yes | 0c | 6,172$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…d4c9backed Yes | 1c | 6,005$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…81f4backed Yes | 1c | 5,665$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +181.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 5,501$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…f7ebbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…fa70backed Yes | 0c | 5,260$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…4fe4backed Yes | 0c | 5,223$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…053abacked Yes | 0c | 5,032$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…2555backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347f…df2abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…db62backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…7eb7backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd596…c9fdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…2fb7backed Yes | 1c | 4,537$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…3093backed Yes | 1c | 4,451$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…389bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,403$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…b82abacked Yes | 0c | 4,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…6a91backed Yes | 0c | 4,046$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…b1fbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…589ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…0d3cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,993$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +204.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…11d9backed Yes | 1c | 3,951$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +375.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cb…0377backed Yes | 0c | 3,731$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…0b79backed Yes | 0c | 3,670$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ad…c852backed Yes | 0c | 3,527$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…63f3backed Yes | 0c | 3,377$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25fc…c6c3backed Yes | 0c | 3,043$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +220.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…2abdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,033$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 0c | 2,817$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…d4c8backed Yes | 1c | 2,754$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ee…e027backed Yes | 1c | 2,682$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd882…04a5backed Yes | 0c | 2,680$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…4461backed Yes | 1c | 2,527$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d49…8e3ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,512$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c5…998bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab7…8613backed Yes | 1c | 2,457$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another candidate win?this page
- Will George Simion win by 0–6%?No won
- Will George Simion win by 12–18%?No won
- Will George Simion win by 6–12%?No won
- Will George Simion win by over 18%?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes won
- Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.