Will George Simion win by 0–6%?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74fa0572e3de0d389d671daf4a085b9b8af9e45688e988c8e4d3ab4254023f16

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 21, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,328,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,466,799

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,328,727 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 696 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9ee4…8e0abacked Yes	0c	397,704$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.03	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4621…efccbacked Yes	20c	164,381$33,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,118.34	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe426…9766backed Yes	0c	127,607$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.23	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x281d…0c73backed Yes	4c	121,484$4,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,955.04	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc40…4036backed Yes	0c	106,209$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.06	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-36%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	0c	104,700$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.99	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb356…9b89backed Yes	0c	85,093$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.9	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x022e…2a77backed Yes	21c	58,968$12,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,113.69	80	25%20 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+187.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes	20c	56,873$11,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,590.92	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes	3c	50,822$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.79	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec7…1594backed Yes	18c	44,002$7,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,997.72	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…0843backed Yes	21c	39,646$8,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,512.19	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	21c	34,497$7,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,087.84	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c6…01c0backed Yes	20c	34,314$6,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,958.93	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes	18c	30,906$5,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,654.05	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f29…dd03backed Yes	21c	29,231$6,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,200	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x334b…d734backed Yes	20c	28,196$5,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,598.61	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes	21c	24,651$5,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,082.15	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e83…44babacked Yes	23c	23,670$5,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,500	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes	17c	22,863$3,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,878.84	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	76c	21,772$16,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,288.93	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9840…6a8ebacked Yes	0c	21,490$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92b0…4f37backed Yes	22c	20,827$4,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,637	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…5353backed Yes	21c	20,454$4,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,385.65	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x000d…758ebacked Yes	14c	20,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes	21c	19,684$4,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,074.09	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes	15c	19,425$2,832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,832.4	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20b9…ac98backed Yes	21c	19,413$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec2a…81c1backed Yes	15c	19,276$2,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,850	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-53%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x356a…17e7backed Yes	20c	19,000$3,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,864.89	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	78c	18,740$14,634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,106.45	576	36.3%209 W · 367 L	-27.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b88…d978backed Yes	22c	18,412$3,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,975	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes	20c	18,015$3,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,576.47	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+69%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72e…7dfbbacked Yes	22c	17,688$3,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,814.51	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfc…f075backed Yes	2c	16,808$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Yes	19c	15,621$2,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,924.2	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefdc…7f05backed Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes	22c	15,000$3,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,244.79	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215c…bdfbbacked Yes	1c	15,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes	20c	14,803$2,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,956.72	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d65…16d4backed Yes	23c	14,177$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes	22c	13,500$2,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,995	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe1e…0a89backed Yes	23c	12,851$3,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,010.51	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-58%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a88…f866backed Yes	18c	11,948$2,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,127.2	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80cf…614dbacked Yes	10c	11,555$1,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.43	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+51.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes	21c	11,375$2,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,422.78	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5816…60a7backed Yes	19c	11,079$2,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,052.74	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	19c	10,690$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024.18	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	19c	10,090$1,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,930.59	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	19c	10,009$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.72	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb84f…f8edbacked Yes	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-50%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed Yes	18c	10,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	+150.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes	17c	10,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb667…29f7backed Yes	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes	20c	9,906$1,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,934.07	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0115…3c01backed Yes	21c	9,050$1,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,931.79	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+111.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes	19c	9,006$1,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,678.9	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…6c9cbacked Yes	0c	8,898$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb73e…7645backed Yes	22c	8,804$1,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,973.07	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…78c9backed Yes	24c	8,265$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.7	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1047…763abacked Yes	20c	8,261$1,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,634.88	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes	19c	8,238$1,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,580.87	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes	18c	8,094$1,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,446.86	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe274…ee86backed Yes	16c	8,027$1,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,284.36	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	1c	8,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes	22c	8,000$1,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740.99	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ca…198bbacked Yes	20c	7,801$1,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.4	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes	23c	7,500$1,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,692.11	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8f…97bcbacked Yes	2c	7,000$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f8…f705backed Yes	3c	6,774$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+4.2wins	+0.28per pick	25cpaid	+158.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfcea…45c3backed Yes	5c	6,647$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4a…171fbacked Yes	12c	6,600$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes	20c	6,420$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.05	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+7.9wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c19…17febacked Yes	21c	6,360$1,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,363.42	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19fa…b4a1backed Yes	9c	6,246$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.82	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e7…21a8backed Yes	12c	6,211$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.4	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	19c	6,182$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.12	160	29.4%47 W · 113 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ca…a936backed Yes	13c	6,100$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…b537backed Yes	22c	6,067$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.28	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	37cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b3f…4b41backed Yes	22c	6,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e70…434ebacked Yes	1c	5,908$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe743…7038backed Yes	22c	5,896$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.1	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ef…39e4backed Yes	0c	5,863$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	23c	5,841$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.38	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x314a…2fbdbacked Yes	19c	5,803$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.34	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3559…f28bbacked Yes	22c	5,735$1,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4d…2bd1backed Yes	10c	5,697$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x779d…c3b9backed Yes	13c	5,627$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.9	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes	16c	5,500$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.99	146	32.2%47 W · 99 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf85f…9800backed Yes	19c	5,389$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	50	46%23 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes	22c	5,208$1,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.65	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8378…8b50backed Yes	20c	5,174$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.73	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	18c	5,112$929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.11	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9523…59a8backed Yes	1c	5,030$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	21c	5,000$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes	21c	5,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf7d…7124backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed Yes	7c	5,000$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.27	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7d…3451backed Yes	2c	4,997$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	20c	4,954$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.76	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will George Simion win by 0–6%?this page
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?No won
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?No won
Will George Simion win by over 18%?No won
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?No won
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes won
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?No won
Will another candidate win?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will George Simion win by 0–6%?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event