Will George Simion win by 12–18%?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3982448dd10ee60f59b898b88f4a2b14fe7266025de357843fe383a22fc7ca8

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 21, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,286,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,664,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,286,247 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8795…7544backed Yes	10c	261,746$26,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,301.85	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bc…9be9backed Yes	7c	106,714$7,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,934.43	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4621…efccbacked Yes	9c	105,714$9,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,900.89	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes	9c	86,089$7,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,364.86	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes	10c	55,082$5,686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,686.04	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes	14c	49,989$6,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,894.04	101	22.8%23 W · 78 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes	0c	44,787$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.79	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…0843backed Yes	7c	40,331$2,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,701.2	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75d9…6310backed Yes	6c	32,287$1,868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,868.18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	30,607$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.58	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fad…2055backed Yes	11c	29,718$3,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,250	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	12c	26,281$3,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,088.08	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes	3c	25,752$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750.04	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	-20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bc4…70eebacked Yes	11c	24,377$2,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,744.5	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…2a57backed Yes	0c	22,220$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42a…ab3ebacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes	8c	20,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	7c	20,000$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.36	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes	14c	19,942$2,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,768.95	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+69%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eca…63a9backed Yes	2c	17,000$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec2…bcd2backed Yes	10c	15,715$1,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,556.7	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe274…ee86backed Yes	7c	15,433$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.27	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Yes	10c	14,444$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.36	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…12a9backed Yes	13c	14,224$1,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,861.34	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	+150.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes	9c	14,068$1,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,196.36	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	9c	13,033$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.95	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	15c	12,335$1,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,873.69	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes	7c	11,912$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.44	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	4c	11,400$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.46	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	2c	10,455$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.51	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	13c	10,442$1,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353.01	121	29.8%36 W · 85 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb89d…fbf2backed Yes	5c	10,261$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes	8c	9,906$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.35	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	5c	9,710$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.47	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	14c	8,727$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,234.57	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes	3c	8,228$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.78	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes	7c	7,917$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.2	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x779d…c3b9backed Yes	1c	7,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes	11c	7,000$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.26	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c5…07aabacked Yes	3c	6,742$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.84	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd03c…45fcbacked Yes	6c	6,414$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.17	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x314a…2fbdbacked Yes	4c	5,803$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.3	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes	15c	5,544$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.65	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed Yes	4c	5,293$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.02	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	3c	5,249$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.11	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	15c	5,052$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.36	190	27.9%53 W · 137 L	+14.5wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+53%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	12c	5,036$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.29	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes	16c	5,000$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.99	146	32.2%47 W · 99 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9262…59febacked Yes	16c	4,702$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.8	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes	11c	4,632$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	76	25%19 W · 57 L	-7.3wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes	17c	4,541$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.98	315	34%107 W · 208 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f68…62abbacked Yes	7c	4,300$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.36	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-5.6wins	-0.25per pick	44cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Yes	7c	4,000$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.3	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	3c	4,000$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	148	34.5%51 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a95…6a76backed Yes	9c	3,922$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.54	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ae…b85dbacked Yes	8c	3,770$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd4e…110cbacked Yes	15c	3,631$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.71	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes	16c	3,153$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.03	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad81…40a1backed Yes	3c	3,093$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes	15c	3,022$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.44	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes	11c	3,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2034…8daebacked Yes	14c	2,855$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.15	74	23%17 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x547b…014cbacked Yes	15c	2,843$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.88	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f29…dd03backed Yes	15c	2,832$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes	2c	2,689$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.37	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3091…1614backed Yes	9c	2,478$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	2,297$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.04	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec2a…81c1backed Yes	5c	2,179$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-53%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d12…caa9backed Yes	12c	2,050$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.5	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	2c	2,047$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	293	9.2%27 W · 266 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes	8c	2,042$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.86	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-60%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a57…3775backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…2995backed Yes	11c	2,000$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.5	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-62%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x487a…949ebacked Yes	4c	1,997$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba0…40d2backed Yes	7c	1,834$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7027…21c9backed Yes	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46c2…b582backed Yes	8c	1,573$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x731b…90dfbacked Yes	7c	1,565$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.65	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes	13c	1,500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	72	25%18 W · 54 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes	15c	1,428$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.2	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…56b9backed Yes	9c	1,413$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d36…3f39backed Yes	7c	1,252$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe743…7038backed Yes	13c	1,208$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.01	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x892b…c7a7backed Yes	12c	1,160$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.2	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7368…b5d6backed Yes	3c	1,153$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc3…e983backed Yes	16c	1,062$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…0800backed Yes	10c	1,050$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c4…eaadbacked Yes	10c	1,050$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb710…fa70backed Yes	3c	1,018$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a52…3ec6backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6142…dc66backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ef…9ff4backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-53%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9840…6a8ebacked Yes	4c	1,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes	5c	945$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dfc…f16dbacked Yes	4c	940.69$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.19	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71be…488dbacked Yes	16c	928.63$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will George Simion win by 12–18%?this page
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?No won
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?No won
Will George Simion win by over 18%?No won
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?No won
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes won
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?No won
Will another candidate win?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will George Simion win by 12–18%?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event