Will George Simion win by over 18%?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c165981b96b00c57216106c194d72a89de0b8099ee5306649443352d89cb4d

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 21, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,108,866
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,870,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,108,866 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8795…7544backed Yes	12c	367,573$43,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,384.07	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fad…2055backed Yes	9c	105,286$9,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,386.56	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bc…9be9backed Yes	7c	95,048$6,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,877.81	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Yes	10c	83,356$7,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,927.06	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes	6c	75,282$4,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,771.44	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	-20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes	6c	61,862$3,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,438.99	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes	13c	60,899$7,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,917.15	101	22.8%23 W · 78 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes	16c	52,756$8,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,328.85	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb843…1b3fbacked Yes	13c	50,000$6,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,499.98	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	40,690$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.79	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes	17c	35,055$5,959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,959.38	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4621…efccbacked Yes	7c	34,286$2,283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,282.85	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d9…6310backed Yes	5c	31,443$1,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,568.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	4c	30,000$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.71	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	26,455$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.22	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	16c	25,978$4,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,074.2	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x063d…3567backed Yes	14c	25,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes	6c	24,987$1,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,471.85	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefdc…7f05backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15d8…1461backed Yes	9c	18,234$1,675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,675	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	+238.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab16…fc40backed Yes	0c	17,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1eca…63a9backed Yes	1c	15,618$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.36	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23ad…ea4dbacked Yes	7c	15,388$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.04	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes	14c	13,300$1,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,908	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	13c	13,000$1,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,670	165	35.8%59 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	17c	12,671$2,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,112.43	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a52…3ec6backed Yes	3c	12,235$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.08	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7d…7124backed Yes	0c	12,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes	3c	12,000$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313	110	13.6%15 W · 95 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	4c	11,932$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.73	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f9e…65abbacked Yes	15c	10,867$1,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,628.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…0843backed Yes	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes	6c	9,906$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.35	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec2…bcd2backed Yes	6c	9,398$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.83	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Yes	13c	9,291$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.07	121	29.8%36 W · 85 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes	2c	8,343$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.23	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3625…2a57backed Yes	0c	8,242$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3831…3fe2backed Yes	0c	7,750$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…f176backed Yes	13c	7,500$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.99	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes	2c	7,491$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.96	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes	13c	7,434$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.86	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes	9c	7,111$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.99	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed Yes	9c	7,000$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.6	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-74.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes	9c	6,990$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.74	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	24cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes	13c	6,349$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	76	25%19 W · 57 L	-7.3wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x314a…2fbdbacked Yes	3c	5,802$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.11	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes	3c	5,623$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.62	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes	17c	5,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb89d…fbf2backed Yes	6c	4,917$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.13	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2034…8daebacked Yes	16c	4,731$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.04	74	23%17 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c5…07aabacked Yes	2c	4,633$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.75	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9262…59febacked Yes	14c	4,579$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb6…8e97backed Yes	15c	4,548$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.83	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Yes	5c	4,500$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.66	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	4,475$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.59	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb59…0a22backed Yes	18c	4,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	2c	4,000$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.5	148	34.5%51 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	1c	3,848$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.81	293	9.2%27 W · 266 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes	16c	3,026$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.68	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8992…1adbbacked Yes	1c	2,904$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x487a…949ebacked Yes	3c	2,642$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9840…6a8ebacked Yes	1c	2,600$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.21	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba0…40d2backed Yes	5c	2,572$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.81	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a57…3775backed Yes	8c	2,563$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	9c	2,500$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	247	36.8%91 W · 156 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…2995backed Yes	8c	2,500$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-62%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x547b…014cbacked Yes	16c	2,400$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad81…40a1backed Yes	2c	2,282$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc90…db62backed Yes	7c	2,255$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes	12c	2,222$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.64	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…306dbacked Yes	6c	2,161$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.21	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd798…3242backed Yes	1c	2,066$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7027…21c9backed Yes	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555f…012bbacked Yes	14c	1,974$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.7	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d36…3f39backed Yes	5c	1,917$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.61	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b3…f26bbacked Yes	6c	1,591$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…31bebacked Yes	9c	1,575$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.65	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x731b…90dfbacked Yes	3c	1,565$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.73	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd4e…110cbacked Yes	17c	1,545$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.22	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46c2…b582backed Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes	14c	1,500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	72	25%18 W · 54 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e4…519ebacked Yes	5c	1,458$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.53	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb830…b965backed Yes	3c	1,387$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ae…b85dbacked Yes	5c	1,362$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66c…97e3backed Yes	17c	1,300$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6503…1200backed Yes	2c	1,287$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…44e1backed Yes	4c	1,282$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc5…a6fbbacked Yes	4c	1,257$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe715…25b4backed Yes	1c	1,248$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x892b…c7a7backed Yes	13c	1,160$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d28…ad63backed Yes	17c	1,156$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…0800backed Yes	6c	1,050$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c4…eaadbacked Yes	6c	1,050$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	2c	1,028$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	482	24.7%119 W · 363 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes	14c	1,000$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+70.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2741…9e44backed Yes	3c	981.53$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will George Simion win by over 18%?this page
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?No won
Will George Simion win by 12–18%?No won
Will George Simion win by 6–12%?No won
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?No won
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes won
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?No won
Will another candidate win?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will George Simion win by over 18%?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event