Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf51603d78545c838490bafe178ee9ff4c23d0c2161f15e0e530d3735229ad3f

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $50,991,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,228,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,991,003 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 8,834 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa094…8df0backed No	53c	1,583,568$835,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835,234.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f5a…23e7backed Yes	44c	1,319,031$582,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736,943	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08be…2cfcbacked No	54c	1,086,999$592,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592,149.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5465…5133backed No	64c	1,042,997$670,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670,908.04	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.4wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8df3…887abacked Yes	38c	737,421$281,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455,794.58	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe426…9766backed No	48c	484,624$231,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231,655.61	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d64…4073backed Yes	31c	457,001$140,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316,797.83	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d9…e4eebacked No	37c	452,578$169,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169,001.98	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3560…1b93backed Yes	34c	448,348$152,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296,273.29	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a1…1149backed Yes	59c	422,121$249,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172,739.92	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+1,419.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed No	59c	414,211$243,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243,049.51	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x130d…aafcbacked Yes	54c	372,674$199,563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173,110.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc658…b784backed No	56c	330,107$185,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185,487.92	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No	48c	325,772$155,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155,538.6	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed No	57c	323,424$185,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185,040.72	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1165…89e9backed No	39c	319,828$123,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123,683.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab08…3572backed Yes	51c	310,316$157,741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152,575.63	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed No	60c	292,436$176,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176,836.36	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8365…e9a6backed No	63c	291,180$184,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184,018.23	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x218f…7ef2backed No	51c	280,499$142,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142,049.62	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…ac84backed No	56c	278,969$156,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156,084.65	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d1…20f0backed Yes	49c	258,267$127,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130,744.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed No	71c	245,117$174,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174,709.05	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed No	53c	240,152$127,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127,516.75	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+60.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ae…6374backed No	54c	238,211$128,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128,400.53	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…867ebacked Yes	66c	235,229$155,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79,427.24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cbb…89abbacked No	48c	231,474$110,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110,775.95	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9180…f0dabacked Yes	51c	224,430$114,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109,553.56	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a9…9265backed Yes	61c	223,390$136,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86,660.82	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked No	54c	220,994$118,877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118,877.1	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed No	32c	212,065$68,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,529.26	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No	64c	210,000$133,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133,699.77	139	18%25 W · 114 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No	70c	205,141$143,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143,101.46	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x630e…2f2fbacked Yes	42c	200,000$84,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115,215.64	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…0843backed Yes	37c	191,115$70,358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120,757.76	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked No	25c	189,326$46,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,765.03	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.32per pick	51cpaid	+70.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47b1…1306backed Yes	60c	181,265$109,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,231.31	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a06…201bbacked No	1c	171,365$2,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,431.38	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a2…d076backed Yes	32c	165,713$52,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113,291.61	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+124.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a95…6a76backed No	58c	153,126$88,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88,687.7	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc060…8956backed Yes	47c	150,836$70,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80,591.04	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc9c…4172backed Yes	54c	147,285$80,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67,125.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d0…de55backed No	64c	146,039$93,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,195.9	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	49c	143,000$69,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,487.18	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb7…2ec3backed Yes	37c	139,410$52,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,294.36	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	30cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…3307backed No	51c	133,600$68,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,320.01	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	+165%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe899…0899backed Yes	78c	128,845$100,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,844.76	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	65cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa275…c758backed Yes	45c	126,662$56,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,837.7	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe1…e986backed Yes	40c	126,238$50,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76,034.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1605…956fbacked Yes	32c	124,434$39,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85,127.94	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.68per pick	32cpaid	+216.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes	44c	124,411$55,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,320.44	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38b…7a1abacked Yes	41c	121,428$49,587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,840.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.59per pick	41cpaid	+144.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes	78c	121,358$95,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,167.79	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No	59c	120,467$71,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71,230.36	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked No	61c	113,579$69,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,224.57	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f95…1ecfbacked Yes	39c	112,160$44,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68,148.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes	51c	109,554$55,602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,951.21	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed No	64c	105,437$67,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,003.03	101	27.7%28 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72e…7dfbbacked Yes	30c	104,745$31,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,031.18	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc1…45a9backed Yes	37c	102,437$37,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,686.12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b9…95fabacked Yes	40c	99,809$39,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,015.31	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa5…97e8backed Yes	45c	99,498$44,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,149.68	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+124.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f29…dd03backed Yes	37c	99,094$36,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,270.28	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ec…0f94backed Yes	54c	94,013$50,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,116.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Yes	40c	92,284$36,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,478.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+150.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No	60c	92,033$54,974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,973.59	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42cb…8412backed No	41c	91,327$37,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,311.42	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked No	42c	90,735$37,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,758.54	185	30.3%56 W · 129 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked No	48c	90,000$42,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,899.98	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+131.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked No	58c	88,128$50,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,964.25	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a21…ac9cbacked No	73c	87,148$63,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63,618.25	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.3wins	-0.37per pick	59cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd2f…8baebacked Yes	33c	86,896$28,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,115.19	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…f5dbbacked Yes	39c	86,862$33,828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,033.56	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+190.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed No	56c	86,038$48,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,454.01	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	47c	85,883$40,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,570.07	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec9a…dad1backed Yes	42c	85,701$36,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,336.67	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d978backed Yes	40c	85,421$33,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51,656.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes	41c	85,218$35,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,956.07	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0be…3197backed Yes	40c	83,687$33,149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,538	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62cf…5826backed Yes	50c	83,153$41,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,585.95	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd5d…aefabacked No	58c	82,975$48,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,202.55	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66aa…9290backed Yes	40c	82,753$32,803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,949.93	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+75%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed No	61c	82,353$50,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,356.44	101	22.8%23 W · 78 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x31a7…9ac3backed Yes	45c	81,829$37,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,682.26	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.38per pick	19cpaid	+295.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed No	60c	81,759$49,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,383.02	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…f137backed No	42c	81,703$34,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,567.88	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	62cpaid	+28%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x863f…8775backed No	69c	79,440$54,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,872.14	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc065…0fcabacked Yes	46c	79,377$36,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,175.19	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e78…ea77backed Yes	29c	78,519$22,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,808.25	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x349f…adb9backed Yes	46c	78,082$35,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,158.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48b0…083ebacked Yes	31c	77,119$23,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,173.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8756…93acbacked Yes	36c	76,631$27,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,365.43	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e4…c939backed Yes	30c	76,361$23,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,263.67	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.70per pick	30cpaid	+230.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbd…7706backed No	57c	75,430$42,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,995.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5aa…3fb9backed Yes	43c	75,430$32,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,995.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb934…ab24backed Yes	29c	75,252$21,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,407.51	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.71per pick	29cpaid	+245.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73ad…5862backed Yes	53c	75,103$39,831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,272.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed No	48c	74,559$35,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,608.25	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc9d…96c8backed Yes	22c	73,119$16,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,032.82	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.61per pick	14cpaid	+526.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x642c…cd5dbacked No	78c	73,119$57,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,032.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event