Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf759fba6c4fd415128bc840a1bf99708244720d7e613ef4ca02f0e15157b2f14

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,373,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,961,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,373,293 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,078 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5a2e…d1d1backed Yes	35c	476,690$168,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168,191.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	176,398$2,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,035.31	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb9…0eb0backed Yes	2c	153,470$3,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,370	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…6b20backed Yes	37c	135,519$50,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,355.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3560…1b93backed Yes	25c	128,756$32,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,616.49	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Yes	8c	110,916$9,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,272.92	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x088f…c9e7backed Yes	27c	110,092$29,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,894.27	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8365…e9a6backed Yes	29c	102,800$29,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,954.22	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa275…c758backed Yes	49c	101,016$49,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,456.43	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes	19c	90,124$16,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,757.49	185	30.3%56 W · 129 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes	7c	87,023$5,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,799.1	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes	22c	83,235$18,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,037.6	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff1…7c91backed Yes	11c	80,083$9,070 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,069.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf371…9812backed Yes	11c	77,749$8,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,840.42	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x779d…c3b9backed Yes	0c	75,294$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes	22c	70,671$15,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,655.62	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	68c	65,844$45,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,800.46	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x305c…dc57backed Yes	33c	60,533$20,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,217.59	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…8814backed Yes	0c	58,731$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes	17c	55,661$9,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,324.53	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x130d…aafcbacked Yes	23c	53,884$12,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,400.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…cc9fbacked Yes	17c	53,609$9,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,113.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	32c	51,542$16,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,358.42	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc90e…48c5backed Yes	40c	49,696$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec2…bcd2backed Yes	1c	45,000$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec7…1594backed Yes	8c	43,830$3,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,577.36	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e78…ea77backed Yes	16c	43,187$6,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,854.43	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b9…74cebacked No	71c	42,267$30,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,094.03	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.35per pick	50cpaid	+76.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	41,459$853 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$852.91	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Yes	25c	39,727$9,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,806.66	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes	28c	39,673$11,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,130.3	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc2ae…6374backed Yes	0c	39,618$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.62	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc485…17efbacked Yes	2c	39,282$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.73	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72e…7dfbbacked Yes	11c	36,546$3,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,986.24	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	31c	35,001$10,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,822.13	89	5.6%5 W · 84 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3099…7124backed Yes	6c	34,580$2,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,132.73	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	19cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a2…033fbacked Yes	6c	34,333$2,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,134	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes	28c	33,366$9,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,342.36	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes	13c	32,871$4,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,173.02	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…bc49backed Yes	4c	31,806$1,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,291.7	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d7f…ec46backed Yes	5c	31,774$1,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,493.48	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24de…1267backed Yes	29c	30,779$8,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,998.76	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…6bc0backed Yes	13c	30,556$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes	8c	28,551$2,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185.74	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	28,000$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7a…b73abacked Yes	17c	27,537$4,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,782	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afa…faaabacked Yes	28c	24,708$6,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,936.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…c89abacked Yes	6c	22,615$1,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,349.49	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff4…07b9backed Yes	15c	22,173$3,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,326.73	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	21c	21,827$4,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,553.59	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d8b…14ccbacked Yes	21c	21,722$4,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,601.62	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes	2c	21,380$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.4	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd49a…6ed7backed Yes	3c	20,893$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb833…3ff7backed Yes	26c	20,641$5,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,339.08	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x863f…8775backed Yes	15c	19,912$2,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,995.77	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Yes	27c	19,395$5,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,333.02	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	14c	19,275$2,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,769.8	190	27.9%53 W · 137 L	+14.5wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+53%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b37…a8adbacked Yes	1c	19,102$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f29…dd03backed Yes	24c	19,081$4,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,636.58	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes	21c	19,003$3,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,971.45	142	40.8%58 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes	22c	18,732$4,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,213.86	110	13.6%15 W · 95 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b35…bcdcbacked Yes	39c	18,590$7,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,250.1	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe274…ee86backed Yes	14c	18,088$2,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,596.15	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e1…7d89backed Yes	24c	18,029$4,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,299.25	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c4c…472fbacked Yes	17c	17,421$2,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,923.27	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1c…55c3backed Yes	3c	17,300$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.38per pick	37cpaid	+63%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Yes	9c	16,380$1,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.67	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes	12c	16,341$1,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,988.91	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e56…de74backed Yes	13c	16,134$2,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,067.32	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Yes	1c	16,000$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec2a…81c1backed Yes	22c	15,688$3,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,499.25	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-53%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6a…bc42backed Yes	10c	15,540$1,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,592.28	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…abffbacked Yes	2c	15,331$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.26	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-76%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes	32c	15,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x547b…014cbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…a63bbacked Yes	3c	14,882$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.4	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Yes	34c	14,822$5,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,039.65	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes	33c	14,443$4,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,766.35	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes	27c	14,315$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,899.7	101	22.8%23 W · 78 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes	17c	14,215$2,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,357.63	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+69%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Yes	32c	14,150$4,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,552.35	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab5…ba4abacked Yes	24c	14,114$3,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,446.81	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…aebabacked Yes	19c	13,982$2,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,594.89	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes	22c	13,351$2,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,873.65	140	33.6%47 W · 93 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x989c…4fd0backed Yes	13c	13,287$1,706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,706.26	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1af9…7cf1backed Yes	15c	12,803$1,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,976.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4506…2e85backed Yes	37c	12,683$4,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,660.33	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	35cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb11c…fe41backed Yes	38c	12,364$4,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,757.47	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ed…0da3backed Yes	1c	12,253$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes	24c	12,007$2,836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,836.34	86	32.6%28 W · 58 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes	29c	11,894$3,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,489.43	284	30.3%86 W · 198 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac6…5ad8backed Yes	21c	11,702$2,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,481.13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+38.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a5…4179backed Yes	15c	11,214$1,725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,725	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aae…c6c4backed Yes	29c	10,999$3,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,189.7	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06e…f2f9backed Yes	6c	10,810$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.46	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8f…97bcbacked Yes	15c	10,797$1,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,662.43	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes	1c	10,762$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.98	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5943…2ef2backed Yes	38c	10,700$4,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,069	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb300…ae49backed Yes	37c	10,619$3,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,920.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5f…8a51backed Yes	30c	10,567$3,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,202.51	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event