Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x614be8366c44bee32b179f13a1653126b28fddfdec74690c1e195989d05f5975

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,477,040
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,597,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,477,040 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8c9c…69cdbacked Yes	1c	236,352$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,464.86	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	141,319$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.44	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e78…ea77backed Yes	1c	140,689$2,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,096.53	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c58…2460backed Yes	2c	106,092$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,132.07	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d7f…ec46backed Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x685e…36c0backed Yes	1c	93,089$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,290.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	83,334$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.64	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…1004backed Yes	2c	77,113$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbee0…7044backed Yes	2c	76,533$1,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,851.51	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…2995backed Yes	1c	72,208$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-62%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes	1c	72,046$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.91	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e36…aa76backed Yes	0c	67,660$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	1c	61,722$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.81	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	56,845$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.94	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…2264backed Yes	2c	51,000$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$969	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeca6…723abacked Yes	3c	50,967$1,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…89bfbacked Yes	3c	50,911$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354.27	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf189…5c59backed Yes	1c	50,500$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.82	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes	1c	43,342$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.58	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes	5c	43,036$1,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,971.29	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdea7…22fbbacked Yes	0c	41,015$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037d…161bbacked Yes	0c	39,466$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.47	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes	1c	33,847$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.49	182	14.8%27 W · 155 L	+11.4wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+218.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d56…ec45backed Yes	3c	31,148$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes	2c	30,875$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.12	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd1…8933backed Yes	1c	30,297$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.07	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	2c	30,200$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.72	89	5.6%5 W · 84 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c0…d4efbacked Yes	10c	30,000$2,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,988.87	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…4eb7backed Yes	2c	30,000$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.98	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.42per pick	25cpaid	+87.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes	0c	29,840$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.9	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe52d…49c6backed Yes	0c	29,568$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.57	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	28,945$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.69	101	8.9%9 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+115.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…0843backed Yes	1c	23,788$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.52	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x215c…bdfbbacked Yes	2c	22,804$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.31	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc927…c3d5backed Yes	4c	20,655$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$908.43	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4922…13cbbacked Yes	2c	20,464$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06e…f2f9backed Yes	0c	20,115$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.23	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbafb…2e07backed Yes	1c	19,942$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9008…773bbacked Yes	1c	19,933$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.04	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-75%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	3c	18,332$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.48	206	14.6%30 W · 176 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x732d…95e1backed Yes	1c	18,314$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.46	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+64.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd47a…64b0backed Yes	11c	16,254$1,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,855.17	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…3578backed Yes	1c	16,001$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes	0c	15,443$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-35%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	1c	15,300$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.1	347	26.8%93 W · 254 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x547b…014cbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…e92fbacked Yes	6c	13,551$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd39d…00bcbacked Yes	0c	13,548$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.84	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2ec…bb5ebacked Yes	2c	13,274$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…bc49backed Yes	2c	13,088$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad16…6de3backed Yes	1c	12,852$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.21	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	6cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3417…1ec9backed Yes	2c	12,838$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.72	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	16cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc4…2ed3backed Yes	0c	12,768$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…abffbacked Yes	3c	12,683$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.44	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-76%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ae…41bcbacked Yes	4c	12,453$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98a2…033fbacked Yes	3c	12,007$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.98	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde8…211abacked Yes	0c	10,921$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1497…535cbacked Yes	1c	10,772$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de7…bbb8backed Yes	0c	10,626$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.06	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	16cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd9…66e6backed Yes	2c	10,381$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.61	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2f…dd1cbacked Yes	4c	10,114$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.72	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	26cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5a…3d19backed Yes	2c	9,518$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.93	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	-38%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6a…3573backed Yes	0c	8,487$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6695…5c00backed Yes	0c	8,466$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	2c	7,799$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.37	134	4.5%6 W · 128 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe5…8719backed Yes	3c	7,069$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.39	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x069d…b532backed Yes	1c	7,011$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d8b…14ccbacked Yes	1c	7,000$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.99	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3835…7f72backed Yes	2c	6,938$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.9	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef1e…c345backed Yes	1c	6,622$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x622d…d473backed Yes	2c	6,435$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd112…cea0backed Yes	1c	6,415$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcca…aebabacked Yes	3c	6,220$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…fe12backed Yes	3c	6,061$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc7…b81cbacked Yes	0c	6,048$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9045…3007backed Yes	4c	5,883$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.35	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a82…affcbacked Yes	2c	5,828$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd716…5d25backed Yes	2c	5,555$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.42	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes	2c	5,264$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.53	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	14cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3c…9ea6backed Yes	1c	5,244$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f29…dd03backed Yes	3c	4,915$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	2c	4,836$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.25	476	6.5%31 W · 445 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe13a…a7c8backed Yes	3c	4,712$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.07	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f9…7970backed Yes	2c	4,495$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-76%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97dd…b190backed Yes	2c	4,309$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.86	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf371…9812backed Yes	3c	4,300$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af8…21b0backed Yes	1c	4,018$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes	3c	3,722$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.75	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6a…bc42backed Yes	3c	3,474$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.65	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda08…2abdbacked Yes	3c	3,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,224$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.27	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	2c	3,178$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.19	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes	1c	3,161$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.29	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…5838backed Yes	2c	3,160$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.33	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes	3c	2,924$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.28	78	6.4%5 W · 73 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-77.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b0…ef4cbacked Yes	3c	2,918$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7215…bd1dbacked Yes	2c	2,844$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.07	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	2c	2,825$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.1	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd919…ede8backed Yes	4c	2,748$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e83…5fd5backed Yes	4c	2,691$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event