World Politics · resolved market
Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d3c9bb7a98510a5f5097be77ac7f66a122256ae60b5b15d82c6a75eb6ebb60b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,556,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,176,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,556,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d7f…ec46backed Yes | 0c | 114,860$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…2460backed Yes | 0c | 94,431$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes | 1c | 91,040$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.71 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…9d1abacked Yes | 13c | 80,113$10,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,574.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 67,621$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 61,771$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.12 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…bdfbbacked Yes | 3c | 49,637$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.19 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…d4c7backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…230cbacked Yes | 10c | 36,906$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4c…472fbacked Yes | 1c | 30,772$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,141$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5152…4838backed Yes | 0c | 29,937$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 6c | 28,520$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.29 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…49b5backed Yes | 6c | 25,850$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…10c8backed Yes | 1c | 21,620$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…014cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…fc89backed Yes | 1c | 14,403$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…71b5backed Yes | 0c | 12,860$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3a…1cf3backed Yes | 9c | 10,610$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,004$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…3093backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…b532backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0631…404bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…4526backed Yes | 7c | 8,656$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 8,331$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6a…bc42backed Yes | 1c | 8,149$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…021cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 12c | 7,880$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.49 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…4382backed Yes | 4c | 7,715$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.71 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb773…b94dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,541$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…9679backed Yes | 7c | 7,141$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…a143backed Yes | 8c | 6,926$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3acfbacked Yes | 0c | 6,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…7f72backed Yes | 6c | 6,368$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.96 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 9c | 6,288$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.82 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…284bbacked Yes | 9c | 6,226$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…05f3backed Yes | 0c | 5,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…f9dcbacked Yes | 4c | 5,832$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 8c | 5,436$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.85 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4506…2e85backed Yes | 13c | 5,351$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…3464backed Yes | 5c | 5,174$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes | 4c | 5,070$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,775$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 4,441$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…773bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,280$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…c05cbacked Yes | 8c | 4,187$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 27cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…42c3backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 7c | 3,917$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…bc49backed Yes | 12c | 3,872$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338a…2c3abacked Yes | 4c | 3,427$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…95e1backed Yes | 6c | 3,384$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31f…0290backed Yes | 10c | 3,221$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…cf5fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,200$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…0843backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…bab1backed Yes | 3c | 2,977$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 2,561$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…0060backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…5e8dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,413$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,401$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a3…da9ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,291$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 10c | 2,220$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes | 5c | 2,190$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…abffbacked Yes | 6c | 2,118$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.29 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…60d9backed Yes | 13c | 2,076$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…4fd0backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…e101backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…d594backed Yes | 10c | 1,999$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…6c4abacked Yes | 16c | 1,985$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64df…9c94backed Yes | 3c | 1,940$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…3a2cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,918$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…ab8cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,785$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 6c | 1,781$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…2d58backed Yes | 2c | 1,769$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe22…66b3backed Yes | 7c | 1,751$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 18c | 1,715$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…bd1dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,633$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…0a5fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,564$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…4d37backed Yes | 6c | 1,553$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…8205backed Yes | 6c | 1,551$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…91f7backed Yes | 13c | 1,546$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,470$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…13d7backed Yes | 8c | 1,405$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 73c | 1,361$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.09 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…1cb7backed Yes | 3c | 1,327$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…f0b0backed Yes | 2c | 1,285$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fe…8433backed Yes | 19c | 1,284$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…7d43backed Yes | 5c | 1,261$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d10…e689backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…caeebacked Yes | 4c | 1,173$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…82c3backed Yes | 9c | 1,140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…c562backed Yes | 8c | 1,129$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…fa51backed Yes | 6c | 1,115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…e71ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,098$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…4441backed Yes | 10c | 1,040$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…783dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa2…1deebacked Yes | 10c | 991.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 4c | 958.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?this page
- Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Cristian Sima win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Cristian-Vasile Terheș win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Diana Șoșoacă win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Sebastian-Constantin Popescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Silviu Predoiu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.