Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a069b13837e7000f1aa96b7c2fc1751b30e599b73e016bebfb0b1c33569a2ea

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $685,625
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $123,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,625 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	0c	99,936$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.94	89	5.6%5 W · 84 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc123…50afbacked Yes	1c	55,259$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.59	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x069d…b532backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	35,500$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.5	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc927…c3d5backed Yes	4c	30,366$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,233.44	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	23,647$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.29	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	17,739$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff2b…527abacked Yes	7c	15,232$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x547b…014cbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2b…13b2backed Yes	7c	12,417$927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…89bfbacked Yes	2c	11,374$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.47	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215c…bdfbbacked Yes	3c	10,868$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.96	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec7…1594backed Yes	2c	10,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes	3c	9,500$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.72	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c5a…3d19backed Yes	4c	5,660$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.37	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	-38%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	4c	5,433$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.51	206	14.6%30 W · 176 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de7…bbb8backed Yes	3c	5,022$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.08	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	16cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5d5…8befbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…dab4backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0a…e101backed Yes	3c	4,112$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.69	20	20%4 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7922…ef61backed Yes	7c	4,009$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.35	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9008…773bbacked Yes	2c	3,900$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.84	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-75%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8af5…36afbacked Yes	2c	3,225$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.48	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2880…c098backed Yes	6c	3,035$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.69	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31eb…8205backed Yes	5c	2,176$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…bc49backed Yes	4c	2,173$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a5…4179backed Yes	9c	2,160$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09bc…bab1backed Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf781…e657backed Yes	6c	1,816$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd66c…97e3backed Yes	4c	1,800$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Yes	4c	1,580$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.04	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca7…04d4backed Yes	4c	1,567$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc979…4a98backed Yes	2c	1,466$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.81	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9622…a58dbacked Yes	3c	1,400$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-74%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4817…8f8abacked Yes	3c	1,352$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.56	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-65%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca01…2712backed Yes	5c	1,140$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.41	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	25cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…fa51backed Yes	4c	1,104$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.37	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…6ca2backed Yes	4c	1,070$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.6	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x732d…95e1backed Yes	4c	1,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+64.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf269…0460backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1d10…e689backed Yes	3c	1,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes	2c	900$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	4c	899.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf55…660fbacked Yes	4c	665.01$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.93	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-48%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d1…33b8backed Yes	4c	625$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf392…df89backed Yes	4c	555$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.46	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x857a…b630backed Yes	5c	550.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a2…033fbacked Yes	4c	500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	2c	500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	175	24.6%43 W · 132 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b7a…d35bbacked Yes	3c	500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf60c…0c88backed Yes	4c	499.76$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+79.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ecc…3490backed Yes	4c	410.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event