World Politics · resolved market
Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x220e7bb73147e5df24c4ce15cec6e21d19eb9f46d61f1d4b823e6e0d0c6ff65b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,606,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,606,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 0c | 129,491$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.16 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…314abacked Yes | 0c | 109,510$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…7b65backed Yes | 0c | 107,360$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…b74dbacked Yes | 0c | 107,060$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…c60cbacked Yes | 0c | 106,780$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…dbd2backed Yes | 0c | 106,430$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…f55fbacked Yes | 0c | 106,370$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8350…2be5backed Yes | 0c | 106,260$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610f…0879backed Yes | 0c | 105,780$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…d66bbacked Yes | 0c | 105,760$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bc…990bbacked Yes | 0c | 105,550$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…18dfbacked Yes | 0c | 105,480$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…da82backed Yes | 0c | 105,410$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61d…7671backed Yes | 0c | 105,320$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…f24ebacked Yes | 0c | 105,320$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…34e2backed Yes | 0c | 105,170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d4…9caebacked Yes | 0c | 104,080$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…0fe5backed Yes | 0c | 103,880$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…e205backed Yes | 0c | 103,460$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf17…3d1abacked Yes | 0c | 103,300$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…1656backed Yes | 0c | 103,130$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…7b7bbacked Yes | 0c | 102,530$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…5028backed Yes | 0c | 102,340$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…3b7abacked Yes | 0c | 102,270$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…89bfbacked Yes | 0c | 98,901$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.84 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…347abacked Yes | 0c | 62,210$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…c0aebacked Yes | 0c | 61,690$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…3a38backed Yes | 0c | 60,640$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…11f8backed Yes | 0c | 55,160$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…3edebacked Yes | 0c | 55,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb156…5fd9backed Yes | 0c | 54,730$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…2f69backed Yes | 0c | 54,700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1697…ddf0backed Yes | 0c | 54,590$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…13aebacked Yes | 0c | 54,580$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb192…10c4backed Yes | 0c | 54,530$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…7eaabacked Yes | 0c | 54,510$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…9193backed Yes | 0c | 54,480$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…2760backed Yes | 0c | 54,470$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…bfbebacked Yes | 0c | 54,460$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…c472backed Yes | 0c | 54,440$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…7192backed Yes | 0c | 54,400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a0…d01cbacked Yes | 0c | 54,360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…77a1backed Yes | 0c | 54,340$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…d02ebacked Yes | 0c | 54,320$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…88a4backed Yes | 0c | 54,250$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…7322backed Yes | 0c | 54,080$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…786cbacked Yes | 0c | 54,080$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2504…716ebacked Yes | 0c | 54,030$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…6012backed Yes | 0c | 54,020$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae3…0619backed Yes | 0c | 53,960$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…9825backed Yes | 0c | 53,870$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…b916backed Yes | 0c | 53,870$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80a…66d7backed Yes | 0c | 53,860$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8a…496fbacked Yes | 0c | 53,850$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…6052backed Yes | 0c | 53,850$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…59bbbacked Yes | 0c | 53,780$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…fcf2backed Yes | 0c | 53,780$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…1b63backed Yes | 0c | 53,730$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…e329backed Yes | 0c | 53,730$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe150…1ba1backed Yes | 0c | 53,710$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb2…cd15backed Yes | 0c | 53,700$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…a17abacked Yes | 0c | 53,660$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…43bdbacked Yes | 0c | 53,620$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcf…3c7dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…5b51backed Yes | 0c | 53,590$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b0…bffebacked Yes | 0c | 53,590$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…68c0backed Yes | 0c | 53,580$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…ee71backed Yes | 0c | 53,560$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…42f8backed Yes | 0c | 53,560$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…98d1backed Yes | 0c | 53,550$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…563ebacked Yes | 0c | 53,520$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…e8ecbacked Yes | 0c | 53,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…f036backed Yes | 0c | 53,480$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…c4a6backed Yes | 0c | 53,400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e84…a84abacked Yes | 0c | 53,380$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…2e02backed Yes | 0c | 53,260$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff8…ba84backed Yes | 0c | 53,160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf63…e199backed Yes | 0c | 53,150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…cb99backed Yes | 0c | 53,140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b2…d514backed Yes | 0c | 53,060$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…fc46backed Yes | 0c | 53,030$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…5db5backed Yes | 0c | 52,950$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…168ebacked Yes | 0c | 52,920$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…5c2bbacked Yes | 0c | 52,910$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2370backed Yes | 0c | 52,770$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x358c…dc4abacked Yes | 0c | 52,760$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…10f6backed Yes | 0c | 52,690$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4c…00f1backed Yes | 0c | 52,680$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…3020backed Yes | 0c | 52,670$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…02c4backed Yes | 0c | 52,630$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…f1b3backed Yes | 0c | 52,620$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…3b20backed Yes | 0c | 52,620$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…56e4backed Yes | 0c | 52,580$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…56b7backed Yes | 0c | 52,570$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…f3fcbacked Yes | 0c | 52,540$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3908…9219backed Yes | 0c | 52,500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…b9babacked Yes | 0c | 52,470$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1daf…e673backed Yes | 0c | 52,470$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…df7cbacked Yes | 0c | 52,370$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…7f37backed Yes | 0c | 52,370$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?this page
- Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Cristian Sima win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Cristian-Vasile Terheș win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Diana Șoșoacă win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Sebastian-Constantin Popescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Silviu Predoiu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.