Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fc28bfcb6f16080415695b53f1f60820f403a94ce16696eea2f0085d823bc92

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 18, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,796,893
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,363,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,796,893 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 4,268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa094…8df0backed Yes	54c	1,488,391$805,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805,622.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5465…5133backed Yes	65c	940,949$614,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614,292.81	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.4wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7bc…9be9backed Yes	53c	649,963$343,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343,227.04	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08be…2cfcbacked Yes	54c	382,860$207,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207,601.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe426…9766backed Yes	46c	380,440$173,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173,422.79	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1165…89e9backed Yes	39c	369,463$144,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144,347.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes	53c	346,366$183,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183,569.13	33	18.2%6 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a06…201bbacked Yes	1c	319,398$2,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,874.22	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed No	39c	314,430$123,590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190,840.43	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed Yes	13c	300,000$39,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,000	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd189…06f4backed Yes	1c	282,966$3,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,264.79	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ae…6374backed Yes	54c	267,716$145,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145,246.92	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes	63c	235,235$148,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148,748.48	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a95…6a76backed Yes	58c	230,154$134,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134,058.47	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes	61c	222,142$135,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135,758.91	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+5.8wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+131.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x253d…3307backed Yes	62c	219,180$135,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135,685.17	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	+165%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	55c	204,603$113,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113,028.19	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	54c	192,163$103,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103,134.18	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes	56c	189,703$105,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105,857.22	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes	44c	185,350$81,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,347.16	55	21.8%12 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ac…79ecbacked Yes	0c	176,019$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.06	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb843…1b3fbacked Yes	66c	163,137$107,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107,238.67	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee3…4772backed Yes	57c	159,571$90,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90,432.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…20f0backed Yes	57c	158,115$89,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,629.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849b…be09backed Yes	36c	151,650$54,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,677.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes	62c	151,148$94,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94,278.36	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d0…de55backed Yes	63c	149,040$94,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94,143.91	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	48c	130,317$62,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,305.41	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes	67c	128,877$86,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86,625.25	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb89d…fbf2backed Yes	35c	128,465$44,917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,916.94	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes	37c	123,263$45,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,956.87	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Yes	50c	122,890$61,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,475.76	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…9413backed Yes	1c	114,792$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes	54c	112,381$61,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,074.9	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…0843backed Yes	39c	109,916$42,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,571.2	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0d…132dbacked Yes	34c	107,930$36,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,617.8	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…f137backed Yes	65c	107,513$69,894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,893.99	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	62cpaid	+28%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x155f…a1a5backed Yes	4c	96,817$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47b1…1306backed No	67c	96,102$63,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,135.68	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x863f…8775backed Yes	47c	95,874$44,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,897.53	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes	74c	94,128$69,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,746.78	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa4…9350backed Yes	14c	92,743$12,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,688.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359a…08d2backed No	51c	92,579$47,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,485.69	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+133.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes	67c	92,379$61,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61,995.83	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-6.2wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x72e1…7d89backed Yes	33c	87,828$29,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,392.01	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	35c	87,735$30,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,817.41	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee4…8e0abacked Yes	36c	86,395$30,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,827	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b83…7fb5backed Yes	32c	86,320$27,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,634.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a1…749dbacked Yes	58c	85,581$49,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,324.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes	73c	85,204$62,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,617.22	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+65.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e5f…8a51backed Yes	65c	85,059$55,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,532.37	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes	34c	84,406$28,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,291.65	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd122…534abacked No	29c	82,962$24,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58,707.3	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.71per pick	29cpaid	+249.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes	65c	82,028$53,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,580.48	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3560…1b93backed Yes	29c	80,809$23,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,719.96	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4402…6334backed No	53c	80,694$42,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,878.98	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab55…df2abacked Yes	72c	80,115$57,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,350.54	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4040…e8abbacked Yes	3c	80,038$2,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,030.58	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.29per pick	11cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f34…d2c8backed Yes	23c	79,923$18,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,671	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+197.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes	1c	78,691$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.27	29	0%0 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a57…3775backed Yes	22c	78,090$17,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,051.77	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed Yes	39c	74,131$29,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,281.57	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0886…6072backed No	39c	73,484$28,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,129.34	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…9915backed No	36c	72,460$25,767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,692.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+181.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa19…dddabacked Yes	51c	71,246$36,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,478.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e68…cefdbacked No	43c	70,968$30,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,656.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	28cpaid	+77%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	42c	70,002$29,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,560	89	5.6%5 W · 84 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes	47c	69,197$32,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,602.83	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes	64c	69,158$44,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,373.55	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-36%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd71…d127backed Yes	59c	68,883$40,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,734.71	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xda62…3e7dbacked Yes	3c	68,545$2,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,292.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Yes	50c	68,466$34,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,090.71	75	33.3%25 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	63c	67,362$42,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,131.31	101	27.7%28 W · 73 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fa…8a55backed Yes	71c	66,544$47,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,495.56	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffde…c665backed Yes	60c	65,328$39,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,196.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb934…ab24backed No	29c	64,964$18,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,215.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.71per pick	29cpaid	+245.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes	65c	64,422$41,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,978.9	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes	30c	63,706$19,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,146.26	101	22.8%23 W · 78 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes	45c	62,711$28,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,427.15	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+69%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4364…d4c7backed Yes	2c	62,000$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No	73c	61,626$44,898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,728.22	56	64.3%36 W · 20 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…83f9backed Yes	69c	61,170$42,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,129.46	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbe1…e986backed Yes	33c	61,049$19,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,995	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes	63c	60,000$37,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,800.02	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes	64c	60,000$38,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,300	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7169…8d41backed Yes	2c	60,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	20cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fb…aa04backed No	43c	59,040$25,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,651.15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe341…1c6ebacked Yes	51c	58,974$29,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,927.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb37e…8438backed Yes	3c	57,748$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…2144backed Yes	54c	57,539$31,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,266.05	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cf…5826backed No	46c	57,418$26,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,058.25	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc658…b784backed Yes	64c	57,096$36,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,406.23	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b04…194abacked Yes	2c	56,890$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,118.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x063d…3567backed Yes	64c	55,000$35,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,299.99	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes	19c	54,973$10,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,577.76	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes	52c	54,854$28,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,478.57	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+291.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed Yes	49c	52,013$25,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,446.61	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed No	38c	51,883$19,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,248.37	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3717…ff6ebacked Yes	2c	51,500$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	56c	50,706$28,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,314.11	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event