Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc52cb22f2ca2fff02170862d971fdeafb7c0ff13fde292a2af508546b337aa4c

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,881,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,144,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,881,020 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes	0c	277,582$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d7f…ec46backed Yes	0c	145,250$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.8	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	128,579$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$737.05	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b01…ceadbacked Yes	0c	120,256$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d7…bc74backed Yes	41c	120,000$49,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f1…e733backed No	59c	119,995$70,797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,197.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda8…725ebacked Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fad…2055backed Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088f…c9e7backed No	74c	72,354$53,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,759.69	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e0…2f04backed Yes	2c	64,161$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes	1c	61,102$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.67	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae3…ad6fbacked Yes	0c	51,900$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec2…bcd2backed Yes	3c	51,594$1,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,516.57	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c82…4e09backed Yes	19c	50,967$9,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,789.14	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	47,806$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…03ebbacked Yes	1c	45,345$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71a6…e32fbacked Yes	5c	39,705$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,132.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes	0c	36,674$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.95	113	1.8%2 W · 111 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	+96.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7169…8d41backed Yes	3c	35,610$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.08	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	20cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe504…70efbacked No	71c	31,875$22,748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,126.32	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7789…10c8backed Yes	1c	31,000$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	11cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc90…db62backed Yes	0c	30,890$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.89	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f94…d3dcbacked No	49c	27,966$13,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,317.44	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes	27c	27,813$7,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,405.49	185	30.3%56 W · 129 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd687…4faabacked Yes	0c	27,392$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.94	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	11cpaid	-22%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f68…62abbacked Yes	37c	26,955$9,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,901.5	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-5.6wins	-0.25per pick	44cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc9d2…3093backed Yes	0c	25,309$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.22	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	10c	24,734$2,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,553.79	206	14.6%30 W · 176 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d06…e708backed Yes	2c	24,449$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	2c	24,409$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.78	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed Yes	8c	23,851$1,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,811.19	53	15.1%8 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	33c	23,259$7,637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,637.07	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…3002backed Yes	1c	23,114$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.3	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9b…4d6cbacked Yes	46c	22,859$10,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,610.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes	27c	21,763$5,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,896.92	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a6…1b64backed Yes	35c	20,909$7,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,421.73	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes	37c	20,100$7,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,498.04	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa06e…f2f9backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	19,235$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.65	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…f176backed Yes	1c	18,749$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.11	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf975…9381backed Yes	2c	18,524$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.13	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2127…a4e3backed Yes	1c	17,000$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371e…c419backed Yes	59c	16,817$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x547b…014cbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…0843backed Yes	1c	14,093$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.09	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Yes	25c	13,627$3,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,363.59	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0dc…91a4backed Yes	1c	13,449$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.94	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df3…887abacked No	75c	13,290$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,290.46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	40c	12,981$5,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,144.41	81	38.3%31 W · 50 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9045…3007backed Yes	1c	12,889$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.62	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes	4c	12,581$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.96	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62cf…5826backed Yes	37c	12,321$4,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,545.33	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9a9…9265backed No	75c	11,942$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,941.97	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	63c	11,932$7,576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,355.57	576	36.3%209 W · 367 L	-27.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes	49c	11,728$5,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,745.88	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8297…1e89backed Yes	4c	11,190$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc7…b81cbacked Yes	1c	11,075$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.52	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7629…b3c8backed Yes	7c	11,037$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.92	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed No	68c	10,311$6,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,317.05	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1b1…8243backed Yes	3c	10,078$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	0c	10,004$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	0%0 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x069d…b532backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	4.4%3 W · 65 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+417.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe13a…a7c8backed No	58c	9,899$5,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,123.74	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b0…d569backed Yes	1c	9,837$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x215c…bdfbbacked Yes	2c	9,623$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.97	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe04c…af13backed Yes	1c	9,198$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3371…5871backed Yes	2c	8,325$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.74	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed No	79c	8,237$6,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,755.22	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a7e…c09cbacked Yes	3c	8,135$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.1	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c37…13c3backed Yes	15c	8,125$1,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd9…66e6backed Yes	2c	7,981$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.67	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3734…f9dcbacked Yes	18c	7,487$1,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.05	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb773…b94dbacked No	68c	7,178$4,892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,286.05	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes	34c	6,882$2,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349.42	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f55…7fa8backed Yes	1c	6,612$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6a…bc42backed Yes	3c	6,589$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.78	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f9…7970backed Yes	1c	6,533$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-76%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e56…23d6backed Yes	6c	6,492$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.99	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f95…15d7backed Yes	2c	6,432$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ffe…1a44backed Yes	1c	6,241$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5235…e61ebacked Yes	4c	6,077$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes	12c	5,733$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.33	347	26.8%93 W · 254 L	-12.3wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x732d…95e1backed Yes	0c	5,659$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	7cpaid	+64.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21cb…042ebacked Yes	1c	5,646$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52e9…67c3backed Yes	40c	5,200$2,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,073.58	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a4…4d60backed Yes	2c	5,186$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes	22c	5,081$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.13	81	23.5%19 W · 62 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad14…ce36backed Yes	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…6c9cbacked Yes	1c	4,889$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…60dfbacked Yes	1c	4,729$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d0…de55backed Yes	1c	4,700$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1395…e2c1backed Yes	53c	4,603$2,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,454.98	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0662…f6debacked No	77c	4,584$3,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.37	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…c58abacked Yes	0c	4,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bed…f347backed Yes	51c	4,340$2,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,205.12	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.0wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8340…3199backed No	52c	4,333$2,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,062.7	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes	7c	4,235$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.95	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	14cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event