World Politics · resolved market
Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc4e7542c6b9b0c0a5069dc1dc16d27fd60c4654f3a36fbc1db96ca74939a580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,973,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $612,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,973,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3560…1b93backed Yes | 1c | 100,944$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…ba97backed Yes | 1c | 91,319$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.62 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 81,399$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed Yes | 0c | 64,790$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 56,837$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…8f34backed Yes | 0c | 47,534$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…bdfbbacked Yes | 0c | 29,676$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 27,829$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7671…8878backed Yes | 0c | 25,635$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…89bfbacked Yes | 2c | 24,999$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…773bbacked Yes | 1c | 23,800$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…b532backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…3578backed Yes | 0c | 18,964$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…534ebacked Yes | 0c | 18,727$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 0c | 18,252$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…69cdbacked Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…bd1dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,550$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…014cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c35…c5b3backed Yes | 0c | 13,863$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…bbb8backed Yes | 1c | 13,203$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.03 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…22c9backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…ab22backed Yes | 0c | 11,151$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 0c | 10,871$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…bfd7backed Yes | 0c | 9,650$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…3007backed Yes | 3c | 8,122$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6a…bc42backed Yes | 0c | 7,072$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…b630backed Yes | 2c | 7,002$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…6b20backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes | 1c | 6,500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…5a82backed Yes | 0c | 5,810$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…e2cabacked Yes | 1c | 5,290$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…b369backed Yes | 1c | 5,184$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…a274backed Yes | 0c | 5,167$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…7f72backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…71b5backed Yes | 1c | 4,894$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…95e1backed Yes | 1c | 4,629$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3417…1ec9backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…767dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…2bf6backed Yes | 1c | 3,250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…4741backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf269…0460backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,838$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…748dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,771$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 0c | 2,555$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…cdecbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f8…9883backed Yes | 1c | 2,058$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 13cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…81c1backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…9fc8backed Yes | 1c | 1,916$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 1,718$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…4179backed Yes | 2c | 1,700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,241$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…6a3bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a3…da9ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,074$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…788fbacked Yes | 4c | 788.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes | 2c | 546.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…6085backed Yes | 3c | 431.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daniel Funeriu win the Romanian presidential election?this page
- Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Cristian Sima win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Cristian-Vasile Terheș win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Diana Șoșoacă win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Hunor Kelemen win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Sebastian-Constantin Popescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Silviu Predoiu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?No won
- Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.