Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x995206207b19045aa5cfb42f5338ffd2642a851fe682363bc0c5848e6b1b6072

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 19, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,883,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,833,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,883,931 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5a2e…d1d1backed Yes	9c	1,770,139$153,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153,457.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52a0…6b20backed Yes	8c	646,791$50,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,256.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbe…c93cbacked Yes	10c	404,278$41,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,370.05	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…c5abbacked Yes	10c	242,407$24,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,247.22	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc90e…48c5backed Yes	9c	237,305$20,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,272.83	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc9c…4172backed Yes	4c	237,189$9,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,967.82	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	5c	139,190$6,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,322.87	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e78…ea77backed Yes	9c	75,784$6,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,989.22	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes	2c	61,661$1,435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,435.42	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes	9c	55,299$4,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,989.8	101	22.8%23 W · 78 L	-9.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x05db…299fbacked Yes	9c	55,000$5,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,115	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	4c	53,150$2,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,226	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	52,486$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.18	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa275…c758backed Yes	6c	52,000$3,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,092	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf56…823fbacked Yes	2c	49,472$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	11c	48,748$5,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,324.09	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3560…1b93backed Yes	10c	45,762$4,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,664.37	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…89bfbacked Yes	3c	44,819$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.25	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec7…1594backed Yes	2c	43,428$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.58	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f1…c58dbacked Yes	6c	40,510$2,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,558	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe5…8719backed Yes	7c	35,311$2,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,543.69	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes	3c	35,125$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.14	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…b4c1backed Yes	16c	31,675$5,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,008	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a1…6fc0backed Yes	10c	29,882$2,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,997.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x779a…6bc0backed Yes	3c	28,643$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7803…1004backed Yes	4c	27,854$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.74	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53fa…942abacked Yes	3c	25,303$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes	0c	24,200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.06	129	20.9%27 W · 102 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	5c	23,392$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,269.66	206	14.6%30 W · 176 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x069d…b532backed Yes	3c	22,556$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.84	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes	11c	21,108$2,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,280.54	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9137…dc57backed Yes	5c	20,856$1,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,119.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…bc49backed Yes	5c	20,275$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…0843backed Yes	15c	19,258$2,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,793.51	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29cd…cbc5backed Yes	5c	18,833$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$868.06	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes	1c	18,344$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.44	86	32.6%28 W · 58 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72e…7dfbbacked Yes	1c	17,796$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.76	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d7f…ec46backed Yes	6c	17,665$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.63	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d3…3b56backed Yes	8c	17,521$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	12c	17,335$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,029.64	89	5.6%5 W · 84 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-90.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes	7c	17,046$1,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.72	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0490…c81fbacked Yes	2c	16,263$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.12	143	30.8%44 W · 99 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+104.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	1c	15,941$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.9	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa64…6769backed Yes	6c	15,765$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$996	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	5c	15,217$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.27	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x547b…014cbacked Yes	0c	15,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x546c…b488backed Yes	3c	14,997$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0409…9105backed Yes	19c	14,993$2,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,811.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2015…0580backed Yes	4c	14,786$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb36b…281cbacked Yes	8c	13,824$1,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215c…bdfbbacked Yes	9c	12,871$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,151.75	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed54…ead9backed Yes	9c	12,572$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,087.15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de7…bbb8backed Yes	5c	12,499$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.86	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	16cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x595b…975fbacked Yes	4c	12,409$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.28	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ade…bb46backed Yes	8c	12,325$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	11,959$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.59	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes	1c	11,678$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.48	140	33.6%47 W · 93 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a6…1b64backed Yes	6c	11,365$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.77	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98a2…033fbacked Yes	9c	10,989$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,033.54	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec2a…81c1backed Yes	8c	10,599$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-53%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0a…e101backed Yes	11c	10,561$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.43	20	20%4 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e56…23d6backed Yes	7c	10,423$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.39	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed Yes	5c	10,333$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.68	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…f176backed Yes	7c	9,979$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.84	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…3c94backed Yes	10c	9,932$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	8c	9,786$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.56	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3734…f9dcbacked Yes	6c	9,491$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.82	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7e…c09cbacked Yes	7c	9,379$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.76	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1e…a91fbacked Yes	15c	9,301$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,411	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65a5…f5b7backed Yes	2c	9,200$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.4	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+622.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b0…d569backed Yes	8c	9,171$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.03	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes	2c	9,024$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.21	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes	1c	8,900$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f29…dd03backed Yes	11c	8,803$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.62	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	8,706$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.46	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	2c	8,490$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.59	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes	7c	8,011$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.43	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x501f…f746backed Yes	0c	7,510$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	87	26.4%23 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	+258.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes	4c	7,500$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.83	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dcc…a3b2backed Yes	7c	7,494$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85f4…2287backed Yes	2c	7,307$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	6c	7,092$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Yes	10c	7,024$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.02	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989c…4fd0backed Yes	5c	7,001$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.13	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a5…4179backed Yes	9c	6,869$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.82	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4364…d4c7backed Yes	3c	6,793$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.95	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68f7…5e86backed Yes	14c	6,776$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.92	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6a…bc42backed Yes	4c	6,517$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.19	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4404…767dbacked Yes	6c	6,279$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.56	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bce…3fdcbacked Yes	3c	6,200$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.48	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99d0…1e72backed Yes	3c	6,089$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e53…ae9fbacked Yes	2c	5,928$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.48	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46a0…b9e2backed Yes	3c	5,848$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb5…1dc6backed Yes	5c	5,734$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.17	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes	3c	5,712$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.46	302	33.8%102 W · 200 L	+19.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes	4c	5,669$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.24	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	5,602$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.87	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes	15c	4,938$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.71	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e32…2ec3backed Yes	10c	4,823$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.94	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event